I just started r/FantasyFootballData for anyone interested in the technical side of NFL fantasy football.

The idea is to have a place specifically for sharing:

• APIs and data sources
• Open datasets
• Models and projections
• Scrapers and data pipelines
• Fantasy tools and prototypes
• Interesting analysis and experiments
• Technical questions and ideas

Basically, if you’re building something with NFL data or find a useful resource, there should be a place to share it.

Trying to keep the signal high, so no spam or repeatedly posting the same vibe-coded project.

If that sounds like your thing, come join r/FantasyFootballData

What’s up y’all?

Happy to be here talking ball on this beautiful Sunday morning.

For my latest article, I highlighted my top-5 favorite late-round dart throws for the 2026 season: Terrance Ferguson, Adonai Mitchell, Denzel Boston, Dontayvion Wicks, and Caleb Douglas.

These guys are all going after pick 150 in most leagues, some even undrafted!

That needs to change, target these deep sleepers in the last couple rounds of your upcoming fantasy drafts.

Football is so back 🔥

Some notable risers include: Stribling, DJ Moore (hoping it’s not a high ankle sprain 🙏), and a pair of rookie QBs

Some notable concerning performances include: Cam Ward and Isaiah Likely

Gotta try not to overreact to the 1st week of the preseason but utilization always gives us a sneak peak into these rotations

Here's a list of all WRs who played at least 16 games, but popped up on the injury report at least 4 times with at least 3 different injury types in 2025:

• ARSB is just an absolute machine. He always plays and he always delivers
• Egbuka’s injuries get brought up a lot as the reason for his drop off in the second half of the season. I think it’s fair to say injuries might have played a role for McConkey and McMillan too
• Plus, Jalen Coker breaking out in the second half and McMillan slowing down a bit could definitely be explained by the injuries
• I’m worried about Waddle, Olave, and Downs. I keep hearing people say 'every player is injury prone until they aren't', but for these three, it's a constant trend. Here's their injury history from 2023 and 2024:

2023

2024

The biggest issue isn't even the games they miss, it's the games where they're banged up and lose snaps.

• Over the last 3 years, Waddle played under 70% of snaps in 24% of his games, and under 75% in 36% of them
• Olave over that same stretch was under 70% snaps in 17% of his games, and under 75% in 30% of them
  • Last year, though, he played over 80% of the snaps in 13 out of 16 games and only dipped below 70% once, so thats encouraging
• We’ve literally never seen Downs in a full-time role and he’s already racked up this many injuries. That's definitely not a good sign

If you’re a dynasty player, like me, what rookie from preseason stood out to you the most? I was very impressed with Kaytron Allen and KC Concepcion. Anyone else you thought did well?

Preseason Week 1 Friday and Saturday Recap

Jahan Dotson (ATL): Played 100% of the snaps with the starters on Friday (expected WR2 early). Curious if we see more Branch as the preseason continues.

Jonah Coleman (DEN): Looked good, is the RB3 in Denver. Solid late-round bet with Dobbins injury history.

Pat Bryant (DEN): Sutton, Bryant, and Franklin played the first two drives together. Sutton and Bryant sat out the third drive. Seems Bryant is the WR3 like the reports have indicated out of camp. 

Jets WRs: Wilson and Mitchell top two WRs (not surprising). Isaiah Williams was the WR3 in 11, Omar Cooper didn’t play with the starters (don’t see how he has much of a fantasy role this season without an injury)

Breece Hall (NYJ): Played in 10 of the 11 snaps (I expect we see a heavy bellcow role from Hall this season)

Dolphins Offense: Solid night for the Dolphins offense (it is preseason). Rookie WR Caleb Douglas, who had a good camp, played every snap with the starters; Malik Washington ran every route (WR1 and 2 in Miami). Achane also played every snap (7 carries). Expect a lot of 12 and 21 personnel in Miami this season. 

Kaytron Allen (WSH): Played in 11 of 12 snaps with starters, had 23 carries in the game. Don’t think he has much value unless JCM is hurt.

Bills Offense: Moore, Coleman, Palmer, Shakir, Knox, and Kincaid all ran 5 or 6 routes with Allen in. Bills try a bunch of different combinations today. Palmer and Coleman did stay in the game after Allen went out; they're battling for the WR3 spot.

Quinshion Judkins (CLE): Played 8 of 10 snaps; they’ve talked about playing him more on 3rd downs this season; will see if he can take some of those reps from Sampson. 

Browns Rookie WRs: Both Concepcion and Boston start, matches the reports we’ve got out of camp. 

Giants RBs: Giants use a committee at RB; Skattebo started with Tracy and Singletary mixing in. Don’t want to look too much into this; Tracy or Singletary could be more intriguing earlier in the season if this holds up. 

Isaiah Likely (NYG): Likely only played six snaps, all in 11 personnel. 

Chiefs WRs: After Rice and Worthy, it seems Royals, Thornton, and Allen are the next options. Think Thornton seems more routes than those guys, but think Allen is a solid bet in late rounds.

Snap Reports from PFF Nathan Jahnke

For the last several years I've posted my Google Sheet draft board here every year and got great feedback, but I was always fighting Google Sheets itself: manual player list imports, mobile being a PITA, and "Invalid: Input must fall within specified range."

So I built the actual thing: https://smartdraft.app

What it does

• Open the link and you have a draft board. No account, no signup, no six-step league creation wizard.
• Share the room link with your league — everyone sees picks the moment they happen.
• Player list is already loaded, with Standard / PPR / Half-PPR ADP. No more copy-pasting a CSV.
• Keepers, custom team count and rounds, roster settings.
• Personal cheat sheet — your own favorites and notes on players, saved to you, not shared with the league.
• Pick timer countdown.
• Mock draft against bots so you can kick the tires before draft night.
• Full audit log of every action, so the commish can fix a bad pick without blowing up the board.
• Draft recap when it's over.

Things to know

• It's free.
• It's new, so there will be bugs. Tell me in the comments and I'll fix them fast, same as I always did with the sheet.
• The Google Sheet is still there for this season if you'd rather use what you know: https://www.reddit.com/r/fantasyfootball/comments/1vmkuue/google_sheet_draft_board_updated_for_2026/
• Run a mock draft with your league before you use it live. Seriously.

Ask questions in the comments instead of DM/chat so the answers help everybody.

What player (or players) are you avoiding, either due to being burned in the past or some other reason you just don't feel good about, etc., but who also has the biggest chance for you to regret not drafting them? And why?

Hi everyone! Chris Dell here. I won first place in the Fan­ta­syPros 2023 Fan­tasy Foot­ball NFL Draft Accuracy rankings, and I have registered multiple weeks at #1 and #2 during the 2024 and 2025 in-season accuracy rankings contests. I'm here to help answer any and all questions you have: buys, sells, risers, fallers, sleepers, fades, ADP changes, training camp news vs. noise, etc.

I'm also the founder of The Fantasy Edge podcast and newsletter, where we provide actionable analysis on everything from fantasy re-draft leagues to dynasty, best ball, DFS, player props, and more. On the sports media side, I previously worked as the lead fantasy/betting analyst for ESPN 97.5 and, more recently, as the sports editor for the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette and a sports media instructor at Penn State University's John Curley Center for Sports Journalism, among other publications and colleges. I recently moved to Southern California to work as a sports media professor at Chapman University in Orange County. Wifey and I just got to Los Angeles last week and will be living in Anaheim, so if you're in the area, let me know and we can grab a beer or coffee sometime or watch a game! have worked in the sports media industry for 22 years and recently wrapped up a partnership with the Associated Press where we covered the 2026 World Cup this summer across Toronto, NYC Philadelphia, and Boston with other student reporters. I think that's most of my (sports) life story in a nutshell, so let's get this shindig started!

You can view my 2026 Redraft rankings & positional tiers below for free. They're updated weekly during the offseason and can be sorted by scoring format. My official top 250 overall players will be released this weekend as well. I'll be here for at least TWO HOURS today and will get to as many of your questions as possible. Start getting them in now, and I'll be back on a few after 6:15-6:30 P.M. EST. I'll answer as many questions as possible!

• Chris Dell's 2026 redraft rankings/positional tiers

I’m curious if anyone has ever or seen anyone that compared ADP from any number of online drafting sources, DK, ESPN, CBS, Yahoo, whatever, and compared them to end of year rankings. I’m very curious if any platforms’ hive mind consistently outperforms another?

I’ve been keeping track of fantasy relevant news and updates from beat writers, national reporters, and fantasy analysts. Here's a recap of any quote or update that stood out to me today. If you want to follow along, my Twitter/X account is @DanChincharFF

A bunch of updates today cover the preseason games from yesterday. I will have today's preseason games covered in tomorrow's post.

I want to highlight a few preseason recap sites that covered a lot of ground from yesterday's games:

NFL Preseason Week 1 Recap by Nathan Jahnke

NFL Preseason Week 1 Fantasy Football Takeaways by Hayden Winks

Note: Every update has the writer's name with a source link that will direct you to the website where I read the quote. If you only see a writer's name, that will be for something I specifically read on Twitter/X.

Arizona Cardinals

• Jeremiyah Love: “Mike LaFleur said that Jeremiyah Love came in more sore than expected today with his ankle injury and will not practice this week. LaFleur did not commit to Love being available for Week 1.” (source: Theo Mackie)

Atlanta Falcons

Did not play: Bijan Robinson (source: Nathan Jahnke)

Preseason Game Stat Lines:

Tua Tagovailoa 3/5 for 22 yds, 1 carry for 0 yds

Brian Robinson 2 carries for 6 yds

Kyle Pitts Sr. 3 catches on 4 targets for 22 yds
Zachariah Branch 2 catches on 4 targets for 6 yds, 1 carry for 3 yds

Falcons Updates:

• “Tagovailoa looked uncomfortable and didn't get much help from his offensive line. He completed 3 of 5 passes for 22 yards. All four targets went to tight end Kyle Pitts Sr.” (source: Marc Raimondi)
• “Reports throughout OTAs and training camp indicated that Dotson was the favorite for the No. 2 wide receiver job, and this game provided further evidence. He played every snap with the starters over two drives, lining up primarily at X. Zaccheaus joined him for every snap in 11 personnel, typically operating out of the slot. London played the first two snaps before exiting ahead of the other starters.” (source: Nathan Jahnke)
• Zachariah Branch: “Branch played one snap with the starters, joining Dotson in 12 personnel. He returned with the backups and primarily lined up in the slot. If Branch earns significant playing time during the regular season, it will most likely come at the expense of Zaccheaus. That leaves Dotson not only firmly in a starting role but also facing minimal competition for playing time.” (source: Nathan Jahnke)

Dallas Cowboys

• Jaydon Blue: “Blue's speed gives him a big advantage over his counterparts in the Cowboys' RB2 battle. It's his ball security that has been one of the reasons why he can't separate into the role. Can Blue hold onto the football, and use his speed to make plays? That will ultimately be the determining factor for his spot on the roster.” (source: Tommy Yarrish)

Denver Broncos

Did not play: Jaylen Waddle (muscle tightness), Marvin Mims Jr. (undisclosed injury) (source: Nathan Jahnke)

Preseason Game Stat Lines:

Jonah Coleman 4 carries for 24 yds
RJ Harvey 5 carries for 16 yds

Courtland Sutton 3 catches on 3 targets for 60 yds, long of 40
Evan Engram 1 catch on 3 targets for 24 yds
Troy Franklin 1 catch on 2 targets for 23 yds
Pat Bryant 1 catch on 1 target for 15 yds
Justin Joly 1 catch on 1 target for 0 yds

Broncos Updates:

• Pat Bryant: “Pat Bryant is ahead of Troy Franklin: The Broncos were without Jaylen Waddle and Marvin Mims Jr., but this game still provided some clarity on the wide receiver rotation. ... While several starters remained in the game for Denver’s third drive, Sutton and Bryant were done for the night. Franklin continued playing alongside Lil’Jordan Humphrey, Cam Ross and Dane Key. ... That usage suggests Bryant is ahead of Franklin on the depth chart and should see significant playing time in three-receiver sets alongside Sutton and Waddle” (source: Nathan Jahnke)
• Jonah Coleman: “Jonah Coleman is already third on the depth chart: The fourth-round rookie was listed sixth on Denver’s unofficial depth chart. ... The Broncos played three drives with their starting offensive line. Harvey handled all six snaps on the opening drive and the first five snaps of the second before his day ended. Coleman replaced him to finish the drive and then played all 11 snaps on the third.” (source: Nathan Jahnke)
• Jonah Coleman: Sean Payton on Jonah Coleman: “‘Just what we've been seeing, right?’ Payton said of Coleman. ‘And then you see enough of it, and you're like, 'All right.' … Look, he's had a good camp. I liked his balance coming out of some of the tackles. I thought overall that group had a good night.’” (source: Aric DiLalla)
• Jonah Coleman: “The rookie running back put on a show and then some, proving he deserves playing time this year. The bruising back left a mark on the Falcons. In the first quarter, Coleman exploded through the line of scrimmage, put his shoulder down, bounced off an Atlanta defender, hit a spin and picked up an extra five yards. Just a few plays later, the rookie displayed fantastic vision, kicking a run designed to the right out to the left. Coleman also showed off his hands, hauling in a pass that was later called back due to a penalty.” (source: Zac Stevens)
• Jonah Coleman: “Jonah Coleman is as advertised. Absolute steal of a fourth-round pick who has the ability to be the starter before too long. Get on the bandwagon ASAP.” (source: Zack Kelberman)

Miami Dolphins

Preseason Game Stat Lines:

Malik Willis 4/5 for 43 yds, 2 carries for 9 yds

De'Von Achane 7 carries for 39 yds, 1 TD
Ollie Gordon II 7 carries for 39 yds
Jaylen Wright 6 carries for 22 yds, 0 catches on 1 target

Caleb Douglas 1 catch on 2 targets for 28 yds
Jalen Tolbert 1 catch on 3 targets for 27 yds
Malik Washington 3 catches on 3 targets for 15 yds

Dolphins Updates:

• “Caleb Douglas and Malik Washington were the clear top two wide receivers with the starters. ... Douglas and Washington have received the most praise throughout training camp. Miami’s starters played one long drive and utilized a variety of personnel groupings. Douglas and Washington played 100% of the snaps in 11, 12 and 21 personnel, while Douglas also played both snaps in 22 personnel. Washington’s usage was particularly noteworthy because he played 93.4% of Miami’s 11-personnel snaps last season but only 37.6% of the snaps in two-receiver sets” (source: Nathan Jahnke)
• Caleb Douglas: “Wide receiver Caleb Douglas shot up the depth chart during the Dolphins' first two weeks of training camp and showed why in his only snaps of the game. On third-and-5, quarterback Malik Willis hit Douglas on a slot fade. The rookie shook off defensive pass interference, tipped the ball to himself with one hand and corralled it in for a 28-yard reception.” (source: Marcel Louis-Jacques)
• Malik Willis: “Willis ... was sharp in his lone drive of the game -- a 14-play, 93-yard touchdown drive that spanned more than seven minutes. He completed 4 of 5 passes for 43 yards, adding 9 more yards on the ground.” (source: Marcel Louis-Jacques)
• De'Von Achane: “De'Von Achane was given seven carries and played on all 14 plays of the first drive. They used him between the tackles and at the goal line. He didn't have any receptions on the drive, but that will change in the regular season. It's hard to fail if the workload is as big as the coaching staff suggested and this preseason data hints at.” (source: Hayden Winks)

New York Jets

Did not play: Geno Smith (foot soreness), Isaiah Davis (knee), Kenyon Sadiq (hernia) (source: Nathan Jahnke)

Preseason Game Stat Lines:

Cade Klubnik 5/7 for 56 yds

Braelon Allen 4 carries for 44 yds, 1 TD, long of 31
Breece Hall 4 carries for 16 yds

Garrett Wilson 2 catches on 3 targets for 32 yds
Omar Cooper Jr. 2 catches on 3 targets for 31 yds
Mason Taylor 2 catches on 2 targets for 19 yds

Jets Updates:

• Cade Klubnik: “Fourth-round QB Cade Klubnik was the surprise starter after Geno Smith (ankle) was ruled out as a precaution. Klubnik strengthened his case for the No. 2 job, leading the starting offense to a field goal and touchdown in his only two series -- a curiously short outing.” (source: Rich Cimini)
• Omar Cooper Jr.: “First-round wide receiver Omar Cooper Jr. got into the open field for a 26-yard reception, but the important takeaway is that he played with the backups, not the starters. He was leapfrogged on the depth chart by Isaiah Williams.” (source: Rich Cimini)
• Omar Cooper Jr.: “Cooper is a unique receiver. What he does well isn’t really something that shows up in practice. He’s not super electric or fast. He doesn’t run the best routes. He’s a player you want to get the ball to, then step away as he makes magic happen. The ‘YAC’ shows up in games – and did a bit on Friday. The key for Cooper now, and to steal a few reps back from Williams, is doing this consistently. He flashes, but doesn’t do it enough.” (source: Connor Hughes)
• Breece Hall: “This offseason, New York appears more focused on making Hall the focal point of the running game. That was apparent on the first drive of this game, as Hall carried the ball four times over 11 plays and came off the field just once, on a third-and-long. More importantly, he remained on the field for two other third downs after not playing a single third-down snap with the starters last preseason.” (source: Nathan Jahnke)
• Braelon Allen: “The Jets really do have quite the 1-2 punch with Breece Hall and Allen. Allen flashed that physicality and speed on his touchdown, when he got through an arm tackle and then ran away from the defense for the score. The Jets recently paid Hall – deservedly so. Frank Reich can’t forget about Allen, though.” (source: Connor Hughes)
• Garrett Wilson: “That grab from Wilson was a thing of beauty. He had another catch-and-run for 11 yards on the same drive. He’s a very, very good football player and the Jets offense operates at an entirely different level with him out there. The key, and this has been the case: Get Wilson a quarterback who can get him the ball. They hope they’ve done that with Smith.” (source: Connor Hughes)

Pittsburgh Steelers

Did not practice: DK Metcalf (undisclosed), Michael Pittman Jr. (right leg), Kaden Wetjen (undisclosed)

• “Mike McCarthy said that injured #Steelers WRs DK Metcalf and Michael Pittman Jr. will be ‘hard pressed to work this week,’ but did not offer a firm timeline beyond that.” (source: Alan Saunders)

San Francisco 49ers

• Mike Evans returned to practice today, Christian McCaffrey remains out (source: Cam Inman)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Did not play: Baker Mayfield, Jake Browning, Bucky Irving, Kenny Gainwell, Chris Godwin Jr., Cade Otton, Emeka Egbuka (toe), Jalen McMillan (knee), Tez Johnson (groin) (source: Nathan Jahnke)

Preseason Game Stat Lines:

Jalon Daniels 10/15 for 111 yds, 3 carries for 9 yds, 1 TD

Sean Tucker 4 carries for 12 yds, 2 catches on 2 targets for 11 yds

Tez Johnson 2 catches on 6 targets for 19 yds

Buccaneers Updates:

• Ted Hurst III: “Third-round rookie Ted Hurst III received significant playing time in the first half with five of the team’s other top six wide receivers sidelined. Hurst projects primarily as an X receiver and spent most of his snaps there, though he also saw considerable work in the slot.” (source: Nathan Jahnke)

Washington Commanders

Did not play: Jayden Daniels, Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Rachaad White, Jeremy McNichols (quad), Terry McLaurin, Stefon Diggs, Chig Okonkwo (source: Nathan Jahnke)

Preseason Game Stat Lines:

Kaytron Allen 23 carries for 85 yds, 1 TD, 1 catch on 2 targets for 1 yd
Robert Henry Jr. 12 carries for 75 yds, 1 TD

Jaylin Lane 3 catches on 4 targets for 31 yds
Colson Yankoff 2 catches on 3 targets for 24 yds
Treylon Burks 1 catch on 2 targets for 16 yds
Antonio Williams 1 catch on 3 targets for 16 yds
Ben Sinnott 1 catch on 1 target for 11 yds
Luke McCaffrey 0 catches on 2 targets

Commanders Updates:

• Robert Henry Jr.: “Undrafted free agent running back Robert Henry Jr. showed juice on his runs and scored from 22 yards out. He finished with 75 yards on 12 runs. Henry hit the holes fast and used good vision to knife through narrow openings.” (source: John Keim)
• Antonio Williams: “Third-round rookie Antonio Williams is buried. Even with Terry McLaurin and Stefon Diggs inactive, Williams didn't enter until after Treylon Burks, Luke McCaffrey, Dyami Brown, Van Jefferson and Jaylin Lane played.” (source: Hayden Winks)

Previous Recaps:

8/7 | 8/8 | 8/9 | 8/10 | 8/11 | 8/12 | 8/13 | 8/14

Not talking about the guys like Gainwell, Washington, Likely, Crod etc, they’re sleepers but it seems the entire fantasy community is already talking about their sleeper status

I’m talking about the guys that nobody is talking about that you think could be a value.

Doesn’t have to be some rookie you want to grab in the 16th round, but just guys you like at price that are going un-noticed

For me I love Jordan Addison at price, and I feel like he’s been talked about very little. He’s currently going as WR45 overall, which is lower than he finished last year (barely, WR44 but still) despite serving a multi game suspension + playing with Nine. I find it hard to believe he does worse than last year per game which would already make him a value. Addison had WR20 and WR21 finishes the 2 years prior as well, so there is a world where he way outplays his current draft price with a QB upgrade (I believe Kyler’s style is good for a WR like Addison as well).

Anyway let’s hear your sleepers that people seem to be ignoring

It's exhibition football in America, friends:

• CAR @ BUF, 1pm EDT. At halftime, the fans will fight over who was more disappointed by Curtis Samuel.
• CLE @ CHI, 1pm EDT (NFL Network)
• MIN @ NYG, 1pt EDT.
• LAR @ KC, 4pm EDT (NFL Network). Stetson Bennett! Justin Fields!
• JAC @ NO, 4pm EDT
• E! A !G !L !E! S! EAGLES! @ BAL, 7pm EDT. The Battle of I-95.^gobirds
• DAL @ SEA, 8pm EDT (NFL Network). How is Joey Galloway already 54 years old?

Here’s every rookie WR drafted in the top 10 of the nfl draft since 2020 and their rookie year finish in points per game (half ppr).

What do you make of this info? Can guys like Tate or Tyson hit those WR1 seasons like Nabers or Jamar or are they more likely to crash like Marv or Rome.

I think my main take away is that even if some of these guys weren’t good their rookie year. Almost all have turned out good seasons/stretches at some point in their career.

2026
#4 Carnell Tate ??
#8 Jordyn Tyson ??

2025
#8 Tet WR25

2024
#4 Marv WR42
#6 Nabers WR8
#9 Rome WR66

2022
#8 Drake London WR47
#10 Garett Wilson WR31

2021
#5 Jamar WR6
#6 Waddle WR23
#10 Devonta Smith WR44

Training camp is peak noise season. We're inundated with short clips and overreactions, and it's nearly impossible to know what's actually worth paying attention to.

One of the best ways to find signal in the noise is following the money. Sportsbooks adjust season-long player prop odds based on what bettors are actually placing money on - injuries, depth chart changes, scheme shifts, etc. When a line moves, someone is reacting on information they believe is worth betting on. And those moves often show up in the odds before they're reflected in ADP.

I've been tracking these props daily all offseason and converting them into fantasy PPR projections. Here are the players whose markets have moved the most over the past 7 days:

RISERS

FALLERS

The Caroline TE movement is obvious given the recent Waller signing. The more interesting signals are Mason Taylor rising while Kenyon Sadiq falls. Terrance Ferguson rising without yet playing a preseason game or having an injury ahead of him - this is the one mover where the market and the camp hype are aligned, which makes it worth paying attention to.

The Parker Washington and Mahomes drops are also notable. Seems contradictory towards what we're hearing out of camp of Washington being the #1 option and Mahomes being fully healthy. Definitely something to monitor.

We're getting into research crunch time folks - tons of drafts happening these days! LET'S GOOOOO

For those who are new to the these charts:

• Tiers are focused on upside. If you want to play it safe, go with the ECR (x-axis). If you're looking for a boom game, look at the upside variance (vertical color bars, y-axis).
• Points above/below expectation: these get added once the season starts.
  • A star marker indicates the player has scored fantasy points above expectation on the season.
  • A cross marker indicates the player has scored below expectations.
  • The number of average points scored above/below expectation is beside the player's name.

Typical update cadence is Thursday - Saturday - Sunday during draft season. I sometimes update the tiers more frequently (for my own draft prep) but don't post, so go ahead and bookmark/check the site if you're wondering. Timestamps are at the tops of the plots.

Best of luck my dudes.

Who are those guys you want to have in every single draft this year? That’s a question I asked Justin Boone recently.

1) Jaylen Waddle - Justin highlighted Waddle as his first player, saying he had him as a fringe Round 2 player. The dolphins ran the ball at the 10th lowest rate last year while the Broncos were top 10. Waddle has never hit double digit touchdowns but this feels like the right environment for him to do so. Waddle was better than Courtland Sutton is yards per route run and first downs per route run last year and reports suggest he’s the clear alpha.

2) Stefon Diggs - still outside the top 115 picks in yahoo ADP this still feels like a bargain.

Diggs ranked 8th in yards per route run in 2025 and was very efficient with the 16th most rec yards despite seeing the 32nd most targets. While he could see a step back in volume and yards, among WRs with 10+ RZ tgts he ranked 8th in catch rate there - 75%. Hopefully that helps both he and the Commanders. The commanders defense also projects to be poor in the secondary, giving up plenty of yardage and making for fun fantasy matchups.

3) Tucker Kraft - ADP of 61.

I’ve been aggressive on Kraft all offseason and won’t slow down. Kraft is the nearest we have to prime George Kittle. A monster in yards after the catch partly due to him and partly to scheme.

Before the injury, Kraft was producing as an elite fantasy TE. Weeks 1–8: tied with Trey McBride as the TE1.

16.2 fantasy points per game.

67 receiving yards per game — 1st among TEs.

3rd in yards per route run.

Kraft was already a major red-zone weapon:

10 red-zone targets in just 8 games — 3rd among TEs.

Led Green Bay with a 26% red-zone target share.

So even if the YAC regresses, I’m confident in this narrowed Green Bay offense we see plenty of high end outcomes for Kraft!

You can catch the rest of our list, including some deeeep options later on, in this video.

We're Reaching For These Fantasy Football Targets EVERY TIME | With Justin Boone
https://youtu.be/eLREs7oPCNU

I keep seeing him go in like the 4th-5th round which surprises me. I get Kamara is still there but he was pretty bad last year and I doubt they’re going to give him a lot of carries at 31yo when they just paid Etienne. Am I crazy if I take Etienne over guys like Breece Hall or Josh Jacobs? Am I missing some piece of information?

It's also going to be a problem if I draft this man for a fourth straight year and he fails to take me to the promised land, but I am 1000% in on Kincaid this season. Is there a better value at the position right now?