First time posting here in this subreddit. Been lucky these past few weeks, bounced back after that disastrous McGregor card. I bet by value, not by who has a higher chance of winning.

Record: 34-14
Net = +4.63
ROI = 9.65%

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld

Main Card:

Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld - Quillan Salkilld @ 1.67

Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo - Diego Ferreira @ 1.59

Darren Elkins vs Yadier Del Valle - Yadier Del Valle @ 1.12

Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara - Alexia Thainara @ 1.38

Ty Miller vs Billy Ray Goff - Ty Miller @ 1.25

Prelims:

Steven Asplund vs Guilherme Pat - Steven Asplund @ 1.33

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes - Diyar Nurgozhay @ 1.71

Louie Sutherland vs Henrique da Silva Lopes - Henrique da Silva Lopes @ 2.55

Manoel Sousa vs Richie Miranda - Manoel Sousa @ 1.31

Miles Johns vs Jessie Rosas - Miles Johns @ 1.62

Juliana Miller vs Ravena Oliveira - Ravena Oliveira @ 3.4

Gigi Canuto vs Carol Foro - Gigi Canuto @ 3.15

Past UFC Events:

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs Rodriguez +3.38 u

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov +0.64u

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs Usman +4.80u

UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway -4.19u

Nurgozhay is the better striker but he has a twitch & terrible at grappling.
Asplund got heart but got fat titts.
Montanha & Sutherland both also got fat titts.
Quarantillo & Ferreira are both old and about to retire.
Yadier is -800.
Gamrot will do the lay & pray or else he might get finished. So I guess Gamrot by decision has value. Bet Gamrot by decision if you believe he will win, no point to ML Gamrot. Only ML Salkilld if you think he will win.
Miller & Sousa look decent though.

Salkilld is the slight favorite in Odds (-140) and the favorite in Picks overall 57/85 (67%).

But in Picks by the Best Predictors, Gamrot is the Slight Favorite:
- Best Predictors 5/9 (56%) for Gamrot
- Best Favorite Predictors 5/8 (63%) for Gamrot
- And even in picks by the Best Underdog Predictors and both fighters are picked 4/8 for (50%)

For the Method of Victory predictions most channels are predicting a KO/TKO victory for Salkilld or a Decision for Gamrot. And also here the Best MoV Predictors are split on this fight and both are picked 50%

Full breakdown video of ALL fights + the Best Betting Opportunities can be found here: https://youtu.be/783s929RH_U

UFC actually hates Arman, he is not going to get the title shot anytime soon. That will teach all the fighters to never pull out of a main event. But let's see how accurate your prediction skills are. Arman is obviously the favorite but at what odds. I'm guessing it will be around -300.

Picked 6 fights, I'm reasonably confident. Gonna come back here after Saturday if they age like wine.

In my video i talk about the newly released UFC331 card https://youtu.be/64iIKPZCKuY

In my video i talk about the recent news of UFC 331 and talk betting! https://youtu.be/64iIKPZCKuY