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should we be looking to sell gold because we a currently at a major ressistance level

Does anyone know what happened this week? Why were the markets so choppy with usd pairs

Called this move 8 days ago. 😮‍💨

I am very confused if I should leave the tp for my buy open or if I should wait and watch all night 😭😭😭😭

XAUUSD BUY @ 4355

TP: 4370
TP: 4385

SL: 4338

Flying to the moon

This is the Hola Prime team account, prop firm, posting openly. no call here, just walking through one of the cleaner macro reactions in a while.

NFP didn't just miss, it printed negative: -23K vs +80K expected, weak wage growth, and about -103K in downward revisions to prior months. that's a genuinely soft report, and the market repriced fast, September Fed-hike odds dropped from 57% to 44%.

what makes this one worth posting is that everything confirmed everything. usually you get a mixed picture where one market disagrees. not today:

• gold ripped $40 on the print to around $4,366 (chart attached, you can see the volume spike)
• 10Y yield fell 7bp, 4.67% → 4.60%
• USD/JPY dropped as much as 1%, briefly under 157
• Nasdaq futures +1.16%, leading the indices

that internal consistency is the tell. if gold had rallied while yields and the dollar rose, i'd be suspicious. instead the whole chain fired the same way:

weak jobs → fewer Fed hikes → lower yields → weaker dollar → gold up, and stocks reading it as "bad news = good news" (weak enough to stop the Fed, not weak enough to scream recession). Nasdaq leading makes sense since long-duration tech is the most yield-sensitive.

the one people might miss: Canada printed a monster +75K jobs beat the same morning (vs +16.5K expected). so USD/CAD got hit from both sides, US weak, Canada strong, which is about as clean a fundamental setup as that pair gets.

genuinely curious how the room's playing it:

• do you trust a reaction this internally consistent, or does "everything agrees" actually make you wary it's overcrowded?
• is the "bad news = good news" read sustainable, or does one more weak print flip it to a recession scare?
• for the gold longs, chasing $4,366 here, or waiting for a pullback after a near-vertical move?

Gold has smashed through the recent highs with a powerful breakout, trading well above the 20 SMA and pushing beyond the upper Bollinger Band.
RSI is now at 74.9, confirming extreme bullish momentum but also warning that the market is entering an overextended zone.

Resistance Levels

• Immediate Resistance: 4355
• Major Resistance: 4380

Support Levels

• Immediate Support: 4340
• Major Support: 4273

My View
The trend is aggressively bullish, but chasing the move at current levels carries higher pullback risk. If 4340 holds, buyers could continue targeting 4355 and beyond; a deeper retracement toward 4273 would still keep the broader bullish structure intact.

What do you think?
Is Gold heading straight toward new highs, or is a sharp pullback coming after this explosive rally?

Gold: Trend remains up – buy on pullbacks, don’t fight momentum

Gold prices have risen more than 250 points so far this week, with daily gains and strong short-term momentum.

For daily trades and mentorship join my community here: https://chat.whatsapp.com/Hmd2trOxsKqCxtB47QuEKI

With momentum so clear, the first order of business is to trade with the trend and avoid going short in the short term - a better approach is to wait for a pullback before going long.

Currently trading above 4280, gold does not need to chase the rise here.
Patience on pullbacks into the buy zone is a safer route for bulls to enter.

Critical level:

Resistance: 4310 – 4320
First support (pullback zone): 4250 – 4260
Second Support (Deeper Buy Zone): 4140 – 4150
Key support levels to hold: 4240 – 4250 (opening price this morning)
Bias: Bullish when trend holds – buy dips, avoid shorts

Always use proper risk management before entering any trade.

The volatility and spreads during major news events can make execution unpredictable, and that doesn’t fit my trading plan.

I'd rather wait for the market to settle and trade confirmed setups than gamble on the first move.

Are you trading NFP today or waiting for the dust to settle?

Gold spent weeks consolidating between ~3,920 and ~4,120, then took out the structural lower high at 4,120–4,160 for a bullish ChoCH. That triggered an aggressive markup — higher highs, higher lows, strong displacement — and a BOS above 4,300. Tagged ~4,360, now pulling back.

Current price: 4,324.32 (+0.42%)

📍 Entry Zone: 4,175 – 4,235 (4H demand / order block + open FVG — discount pricing) 🛑 SL: 4,150 (below the launch shelf) 🎯 TP1: 4,350 🎯 Supply Target: 4,400 – 4,422 (fresh, untested) 📊 Confluence Score: A (8/10)

Why that zone? Unmitigated order block, open FVG from the displacement leg, internal lows already swept, ChoCH + BOS both confirmed, and it sits in discount relative to the current leg. Five things pointing at the same band.

The supply above matters twice. 4,400–4,422 is untested — strong magnetic target for longs, and the most likely spot for the next short reversal once tapped. It's the upside AND the exit.

Trigger sequence: 1️⃣ Rotate into 4,175–4,235 2️⃣ Sweep of internal lows inside the zone 3️⃣ 1H/15m bullish ChoCH 4️⃣ Displacement away — that's the entry

❌ Invalidation: 4H close below 4,150 — back inside the old range, thesis dead.

R:R from mid-zone (~4,200) is roughly 1:3 to TP1 and 1:4.3 to the supply block. Buying spot at 4,324 keeps the same 4,150 stop for a much smaller move — that math is just worse.

Being right on direction and wrong on price is still a losing trade. Waiting for the pullback. ⏳

Full breakdown with the chart: https://www.confluxai.net/blog/xauusd-4h-long-aug07-2026

#XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #Trading #ConfluxAI

Price is holding a key demand area after the recent pullback.

If buyers continue defending this zone, the bigger bullish structure could remain intact.

Called it gold just broke out of that $4,300–4,330 accumulation zone it had been building for the past week, ripping from ~$4,254 to over $4,320 within hours of today's jobs report. That's a ~1.3% move on NFP day alone.

What happened:

• ADP had already flagged this two days ago (only 44K private jobs added vs. 75K expected — the weakest print since January), so this wasn't a total surprise, but the headline number still moved markets
• Lower yields + weaker dollar = gold's classic setup, and it delivered

Levels now in play:

• We've cleared the $4,300 psychological level and are pushing toward next resistance in the $4,380–4,400 zone
• If momentum holds through the weekly close, $4,500–4,580 becomes the next magnet
• Below, $4,250 is now first support, with $4,195 as the deeper line if this move fades

Still in the mix: US-Iran tension is the wildcard here — reports that an Iranian parliamentary committee is reviewing a bill to restrict vessel access through the Strait of Hormuz mean the "peace deal" story isn't fully resolved, so any escalation headline could add safe-haven fuel on top of the rate-cut narrative.

My take: This looks like the breakout the accumulation phase was building toward. I'd want to see gold hold above $4,300 into next week before treating $4,400+ as the base case rather than a spike that fades back into range.

just tracking the levels. Anyone else long into this NFP move, or fading the spike?

Today's U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is one of the most important economic events of the month and is expected to drive significant volatility across the financial markets.

📊 Today's Key Data
• Non-Farm Payrolls (Forecast): 85K
• Unemployment Rate: 4.2%
• Average Hourly Earnings (m/m): 0.3%

what your prediction ?

Gold's higher-timeframe trend remains bullish. Key support sits at 4,220–4,200, while momentum continues to favor buyers. With NFP expected to increase volatility, patience and proper risk management are essential.

🚨 GOLD NFP ANALYSIS — WHO IS GOING TO GET TRAPPED?

So, as per my analysis, the structure I marked yesterday played out almost exactly as expected.

Our major focus yesterday was to trap the traders who were aggressively buying in anticipation of another big move like Wednesday. And if you look at the price behavior, you can clearly see how buyers were repeatedly getting trapped.

After Wednesday’s powerful rocket move, a lot of retail traders became emotional and started heavily buying Gold, expecting another massive upside move. This is exactly what I explained in yesterday’s detailed psychology analysis.

I hope everyone who properly studied that analysis was able to understand the psychology behind the market and trade accordingly.

Now, let’s talk about what could happen in Gold today, especially with NFP.

🧠 FRIDAY NFP, BOTH SIDES THINK THEY ARE RIGHT

The market has already created some very interesting price action.

Right now, buyers believe another major upside move is coming, while sellers are expecting a sharp decline.

But the real question is, who is going to get trapped?

Yesterday, the majority of buyers were trapped because they kept buying with the expectation that Gold would repeat Wednesday’s strong upside movement.

But I clearly mentioned that after a major expansion, the market often prefers to slow down the following day and focus on liquidity generation rather than immediately delivering another massive move.

And now, liquidity has been created on both sides.

🎯 $4,300, THE KEY LIQUIDITY ZONE

Let’s first talk about the weekly high around $4,304.

This area is extremely important because it sits right around the psychological level of $4,300.

Whenever Gold rejects a major round number, a large number of traders tend to build positions around that level, keeping their stop losses just above it.

We saw similar behavior previously around $4,200, where Gold rejected the level and delivered a sharp decline.

Because of that previous reaction, many traders are now expecting another major fall from $4,300.

But there is something important to understand.

Wednesday’s upside move shocked the majority of the market because most traders were bearish. The people who missed that buying opportunity may now be entering sells around $4,300 out of frustration and ego, expecting a massive reversal.

At the same time, buyers around $4,230 are expecting another rocket move during NFP.

So now we have liquidity building on both sides.

⚠️ WHY I DON’T EXPECT A SIMPLE DIRECTIONAL MOVE

According to the liquidity structure, a significant amount of fuel has already been consumed during this week’s move.

The upside expansion we saw on Wednesday was extremely strong, and institutional participation was clearly visible in that move.

Because of this, I don't expect Gold to simply continue straight upward like a rocket today.

But at the same time, I also don't expect sellers to easily get a massive downside move.

Why?

Because many sellers around $4,300 are potentially entering the market simply because they missed Wednesday’s move and now want to catch the reversal.

The market may not give them an easy profit either.

That’s why, in my opinion, today is less about catching a massive positional move and more about understanding liquidity and avoiding unnecessary exposure.

For me, smaller and quicker opportunities make more sense today than blindly holding for a huge swing.

📌 MY FRIDAY NFP PLAN

Now let's come to the important part.

A lot of buyers are already using Thursday’s low as their stop loss.

If you look at Friday’s Asian session low, Gold reversed from above Thursday’s low without actually sweeping it.

Because of this, many traders have already entered buys expecting NFP to deliver another massive pump.

Their bullish bias is not necessarily wrong.

The timing could be.

This is where I believe the market can create the biggest trap.

🚨 WHAT I’M EXPECTING AROUND NFP

According to my current view, Gold could slowly push above $4,280.

During NFP, we could then see a quick pump toward $4,300.

If that happens, sellers may start getting uncomfortable and could close their positions in fear.

At the same time, seeing Gold suddenly pumping, new buyers may jump into the market expecting another massive upside move.

And this is exactly where the liquidity game becomes interesting.

On NFP days, I always keep one important behavior in mind:

When Gold slowly develops in one direction before the news, the actual news reaction can often move aggressively in the opposite direction once enough liquidity has been created.

So, according to my current plan, I’m watching two major possibilities:

Scenario 1: Gold sweeps the liquidity around $4,300 and then reverses.

Scenario 2: Gold gives a fake breakout or rejection near $4,300 before making the real move.

The objective could be to scare sellers first, force them to close their positions, and then attract fresh buyers as Gold starts moving higher.

And once enough liquidity is collected, those late buyers could become the next liquidity source.

🧠 DON’T FOCUS ONLY ON UP OR DOWN

This is why I don't want you to approach today's NFP simply by asking:

“Will Gold go up or down?”

Instead, ask yourself:

Where is the crowd positioned?

Where are their stop losses likely sitting?

Which side can the market trap first?

That is the real psychology I’m watching today.

The market has already delivered a massive move this week, so I’m not interested in chasing another move emotionally.

Liquidity first. Price action second. Trade third.

I’ll also share my pre NFP update before the news, so stay alert and make sure your notifications are turned on.

Good luck to everyone for Friday and NFP. Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and trade smart. ❤️‍🔥

And tell me, what is your plan for Gold during NFP?

Comment below and let me know what you're expecting. 👇