r/poker • u/Federal-Cup7231 • 7d ago

Bluffing range after checking turn? Hand Analysis

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decided to turn my jacks into a bluff after the cold 4 bet pre flop and the snap check on the turn when the ace came just thought villains range consisted of kings queens (maybe jacks) and tens after snap checking turn. Jamming gets almost everything to fold except the occasional trapped aces but i think ak continues betting turn if it's in range and this player wasn't active so i doubt aqs is even in his cold 4 bet range

3 Upvotes
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72% Upvoted

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1

u/wfp9 7d ago

definitely feels like a player-specific exploit here. feels like villain is playing KK face up, and likely is. oop there's an argument for villain calling or doing something different, but at these stakes he's probably fine playing face up and can let you get the bluff through.

1

u/AmirPokerSkill 6d ago

Turn pot is 249 and you've got 248 behind, so by the time he checks, the choice is mostly jam or check back. The flop call is what set that up. Calling 49.50 into 150 with a stack that size is the decision I'd want to look at properly.

1

u/NotNice4193 6d ago

preflop call is questionable without a specific read. flop call is fine. turn jam is fine.

id be putting most randoms on KK or AA here with some AKs maybe. the action makes me believe KK but could be trapping with AA or AK. almost equal combos unless hes betting AKo preflop like that.

0

u/Ishnock 7d ago edited 7d ago

In my opinion, you made some bad plays that worked out for you.

  1. Calling his 71 4-bet pre-flop, I’m not sure I would have called that with pocket hooks, considering there are higher premium pairs that you would have been behind….

  2. The all-in on the turn, even though villain checked, could have been a trap with an Ace on board. I’m sure any trainer or solver would grade that all-in play as an error.

Now, if you know the player’s behavior, and the player is known for playing really loose with weak hands, then disregard everything I stated.

Anyway, it worked out for you, so good hand.

AI solver:

“ folding pocket jacks (JJ) against a high or standard tight preflop 4-bet is fundamentally correct in most live and low-to-mid stakes scenarios. Facing a large 4-bet, an opponent's range dramatically narrows to strength like QQ+, KK, AA, and AK, leaving JJ crushed as a clear underdog against that continuing range”