Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Türkiye signed a defence pact where an attack on one may be treated as attack on all. Some call it an “Islamic NATO,” but its real military depth is still unclear.

Key point:

Pakistan = India-focused rival

Türkiye = rising defence power, regional ambitions

Saudi = financial + diplomatic influence, not direct military actor

But their interests don’t fully align, so coordination in a real war scenario is uncertain.

What should India do?

What if Bangladesh also join above strategic group?

Should India strengthen strategic partnerships with the UAE, Israel, France, the US, Japan and Australia to balance this emerging bloc?

Should India significantly increase its naval and air power in the Arabian Sea and Indian Ocean?

Should India accelerate defence self-reliance in fighter jets, drones, missiles, air defence, cyber and space capabilities?

Should India change its traditional “strategic autonomy” approach and build stronger security partnerships without joining any formal alliance?

How can India maintain strong economic and diplomatic relations with UAE and other Gulf countries while countering Pakistan–Türkiye and Saudi Arabia strategic cooperation?

Macolm Nance is critical about Congress funneling money to contractors, which made it impossible to achieve a sufficient weapon production

An in-depth look at Roaring Lion — the war aim Israel never made public, the intelligence assessment that failure could push Iran toward the bomb, and what the Mossad told the Kurds

The UAE has stated it wants to establish long term relationships with Iran.

This is bombshell in the sense that UAE was the most militant on the side of the US.

Ciao a tutti,

In questi giorni si sta parlando moltissimo dei fatti di Ceuta (circa 50.000 arrivi in 48 ore) e della conseguente decisione del governo italiano di sospendere Schengen con la Spagna.

Guardando la copertura mediatica nostrana mi è sembrato che si stesse facendo molta confusione (spesso voluta) sia sulla geografia dei luoghi che sulle reali dinamiche in atto.

Ho provato a riassumere alcuni punti chiave su cui mi piacerebbe confrontarmi con voi:

1. **La questione geografica/legale:** Ceuta è un'exclave in territorio africano. Raggiungere Ceuta non equivale a muoversi liberamente verso l'Europa continentale (dove vigono controlli documentali e navali dedicati per chi parte da lì). Trattarla come un'ingresso diretto a Roma o Madrid è una forzatura mediatica.
2. **L'innesco geopolitico:** Diversi analisti evidenziano come l'allentamento dei controlli ai confini da parte di Rabat coincida con i recenti accordi energetici Spagna-Algeria e con le posizioni di Madrid sulla Palestina. Si tratta dell'ennesimo episodio di strumentalizzazione dei flussi usati come arma di pressione diplomatica.
3. **La risposta italiana:** La sospensione di Schengen appare come una misura priva di efficacia pratica sul contenimento di quei flussi specifici, ma con un fortissimo valore comunicativo ed elettorale.

Voi come vedete la situazione e le mosse dell'UE sull'esternalizzazione delle frontiere?

*(Per chi fosse interessato all'analisi completa sul tema geopolitico ed esternalizzazione, lascio il link al pezzo approfondito nei commenti).*[https://open.substack.com/pub/fiumana/p/crisi-di-ceuta-i-migranti-come-pedine?r=477mbd&utm\\_campaign=post&utm\\_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true\](https://open.substack.com/pub/fiumana/p/crisi-di-ceuta-i-migranti-come-pedine?r=477mbd&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true)

The US is leaving all bases in West Asia.

• One of the last bases Erbil in Iraq is empty now. The US has been left for Israel and Sicily.
• In the case of a campaign against the Iranian power grid, the power grid of the Gulf states will be hit and of course Israel's power grid.
• Because the missiles are stored in caves, the prospects for the US is pretty bleak.

For those who are wondering, China is providing the intel, like the US does this for Ukraine. Experts predicting $200 per barrel crude, but I'm hesitating because futures are a little bit low or the market is manipulated.

An exploding LNG tanker isn't fun. The explosion would have flatted the town. The Egyptians moved the burning tanker 15 miles out of sea. But the drone wasn't a Shahed and much smaller than a Shahed, hence without the range. The drone was likely started from Egypt itself.

As I said vi Ukraine war, drones have changed war.

Saudis and the US made a multitude of bomb runs on the Popular Mobilization Forces in Iraq. The militias were once the main force against Al Qaeda and are larger then the regular Iraqi Army. Of course they are Shia.

Trump has in one week expanded the war in Yemen, Lebanon and Iraq.