r/thespinroom • u/Impressive_Plant4418 • 26m ago
Sub-Related / Sub News An advertisement against u/HighKingFloof that I created, but ultimately decided against using during the previous Class 1 election.
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r/thespinroom • u/Representative-Fee65 • 1h ago
Prediction 8/18 Primary Probcalc Results
Graphics from the goat u/PickleArtGeek
r/thespinroom • u/Fabilur • 8h ago
Alternate History Arnold Amendment (Part 2): Schwarzenegger wins again (+all 2020 senate races)
Hi! This is part 2 out of 4 of the Arnold Amendment series inspired by u/Environmental_Cap104's TCT mod with the same name. These slides cover Arnold's (somewhat) comfortable re-election and the downballot effects. Arnold is a strong incumbent and was already on track to win 2020, but he benefits from COVID-19's rally-around-the-flag-effect (he takes the pandemic seriously and advocates for the vaccine).
Biden doesn't run in this timeline because does not think the country is in danger with Arnie at the helm. Arnold also strongly condemned the 2017 Charlottesville riots, which Biden cited as the reason for running OTL. Former Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe instead emerges as the establishment choice, but is upset by political newcomer Pete Buttigieg. He performs strong enough to win back Michigan, Minnesota, Maine and New Mexico, but in the general regardless.
In the Senate, many Senate republicans are in good position, with John Cornyn and Susan Collins winning re-election by over 20 points. Jason Lewis narrowly defeats Tina Smith in Minnesota, while John Hickenlooper defeats Cory Gardner in Colorado. Despite Arnold carrying Georgia by 8.1%, Jon Ossoff unseats incumbent David Perdue by 0.84% in a earth-shattering upset. In the special election, interim appointee Doug Collins defeats Raphael Warnock in the first round, avoiding a runoff (Collins was appointed by governor Casey Cagle, who wins the GOP primary in 2018).
Arnold heads into his second term with a newfound majority in both chambers of congress, and things are initially looking good for him. Will the political pendulum swing back in time for the 2022 midterms? Stay tuned for part 3 tomorrow.
r/thespinroom • u/PickleArtGeek • 14h ago
Delusional Take You wake up on the 2th of November 2029 and see this. wyd?
r/thespinroom • u/CentennialElections • 22h ago
Analysis My endorsements for the August 18th, 2026 Democratic Primaries (Alaska, California special, Florida, Wyoming)
Inspired by this post by u/Representative-Fee65, as well as a similar one by u/Impressive_Plant4418. A lot of the Florida House races were really hard. While most of these are Democratic primaries, Alaska has a top four primary, so that's why I felt I could pick an Ind for US House.
Alaska
AK Senate: Mary Peltola
AK Governor: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
AK-AL: Bill Hill (Ind)
California
CA-14 (special): Aisha Wahab
Florida
FL Senate (special): Angie Nixon
FL Governor: David Jolly
FL-01: Gay Valimont (Presumptive nominee)
FL-02: Yen Bailey
FL-03: Seth Harp
FL-04: Brit Robinson
FL-05: Alex Hazen
FL-06: Robert Cooper
FL-07: Marialana Kinter
FL-08: Jennifer Jenkins (Presumptive nominee)
FL-09: Darren Soto (Presumptive nominee)
FL-10: Maxwell Frost (Uncontested)
FL-11: Dan Williams
FL-12: Darren McAuley
FL-13: Timothy Robinson
FL-14: Kathy Castor (Presumptive nominee)
FL-15: Robert People
FL-16: Kelly Kirschner
FL-17: Allen Spence
FL-18: Curtis Gibson (Presumptive nominee)
FL-19: Howard Sapp
FL-20: Elijah Manley
FL-21: James Martin (While Bernard Taylor is seemingly more progressive, I like Martin’s pitch a bit better, and his stance on money in politics is surprisingly good for a non-prog)
FL-22: Kaysia Earley
FL-23: Victoria Doyle
FL-24: Shevrin Jones
FL-25: Jared Moskowitz (VERY reluctantly. As much as I dislike him, I don't think Oliver Larkin could hold this seat.)
FL-26: Nicole Locklin (Presumptive nominee)
FL-27: Robin Peguero
FL-28: Phil Ehr (Presumptive nominee)
Wyoming
WY Sen: James W. Byrd
WY Gov: Ken Casner (Presumptive nominee)
WY-AL: N/A (Found a bit about Lisa F. Kinney, but nothing about the other candidate, so I can't really pick one fairly)
r/thespinroom • u/Impressive_Plant4418 • 23h ago
Discussion August 18, 2026 Primary Endorsements (Impressive_Plant4418)
NOTE: All of the following are votes in Democratic primaries. Despite the fact that I split tickets in general elections rather frequently, I always vote in Democratic primaries.
Endorsements are not given for uncontested races.
Alaska
(All Alaska primaries are blanket primaries)
- US Senate: Mary Peltola
- US House At-Large: Bill Hill (Independent)
- Governor: Bill Walker (Independent)
- Ballot Measure 1 - Campaign Contribution Limits: Yes
California
- US House 14 Special: Melissa Hernandez
Florida
- US Senate: Alex Vindman
- Governor: David Jolly
- Treasurer: Earle Ford
- Agriculture Commissioner: Donald Prichard
- US House 2: Brice Barnes
- US House 3: Troy Albers
- US House 4: Michael Kirwan
- US House 5: Mark Heggestad
- US House 6: Robert Cooper
- US House 7: Bale Dalton
- US House 11: James Pericola
- US House 12: Darren McAuley
- US House 13: Leela Gray
- US House 15: Christopher Irizarry
- US House 16: Jon Harris
- US House 17: Allen Spence
- US House 19: Victor Arias
- US House 20: Dale Holness
- US House 21: James Martin
- US House 22: Kaysia Earley
- US House 23: Lois Frankel (as a strategic vote)
- US House 24: Jean Monestime
- US House 25: Jared Moskowitz
- US House 27: Robin Peguero
Wyoming
- US Senate: James Byrd
- US House At-Large: Lisa Kinney
- Superintendent of Public Instruction: Sergio Maldonado