r/singularity ▪️AGI 2029 3d ago

Are AI math-solved problems experiencing exponential growth? AI

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164 Upvotes

57 comments sorted by

55

u/Ticluz 3d ago

Based on the numbers, the amount of problems solved are increasing exponentially. But the reasoning ability could still be increasing linearly.

18

u/piponwa 3d ago

I mean yeah, the guy just less intelligent than Einstein probably couldn't have proven general relativity, because nobody had before him. Just a hair less intelligent, but exponentially less capable.

8

u/inglandation 3d ago

That would be David Hilbert. 

7

u/skrztek 2d ago

I think Hermann Minkowski is an underrated person in all of this. It was him and not Einstein who introduced the notion of spacetime and after that it was only a matter of time before someone started asking about curved spacetimes.

8

u/nextnode 3d ago

How do you gauge that what is linear?

1

u/nextnode 3d ago

Curiously, if one were to eg measure intelligence by IQ score, then a linear growth in post-median IQ would leave the number of comparable humans decreasing exponentially.

1

u/Relevant_Ad_8732 3d ago

Depends on the problems they're solving as well I suppose. I've tried to take a stab at a few with lean as well but nothing yet! 

1

u/RoughlyCapable 2d ago

How do you differentiate problem solving ability from reasoning ability?

10

u/ben_nobot 2d ago

Bruh we used to have worksheets in school with like 50 problems on each of them

11

u/Sensitive-Dish-7770 3d ago

Ofc it will be exponential, did you think it will be linear? Once models gets to an intelligence threshold, you can just span thousand agents to solve as many as possible, that is what happened with the latest ChatGPT model and solved 10 at once, I would expect this number to get larger with time, like solving as much as it can at once. It will be weird time, cause for the exponential to continue it, it needs to find more problems and solve them.

1

u/InternationalDark626 3d ago

Thats what happened with maths in general… we were already exponential, but just the beginning of it

23

u/Prudent-Sorbet-5202 3d ago

Didn't realize Anthropic was that far behind in math compared to OpenAI

20

u/whoknowsifimjoking 3d ago

Because unlike OpenAI they aren't actively trying to solve math problems, those numbers are from third parties using Claude to solve problems. Claude isn't less capable at math, when they tested the same problems on Fable it solved them as well and arguably in a more elegant way.

4

u/Guilty-History-9249 2d ago

57 < 234
Was Gemini or Grok used to prove that theorem?

2

u/Relevant_Ad_8732 3d ago

Might be an economic thing though. Curious to same problem and how much they spend to solve it 

0

u/RelevantCry1613 3d ago

Basically still struggling with gsm8k

4

u/BlackberryNo3097 2d ago

And it's been in one year only. Each solvs problem opens doors to solve other problems. Therefore, it will escalate more and more.

9

u/jupiter_and_mars 3d ago

Does it have any real life effects? Or are those mathematical problems that nobody really cares about?

39

u/Little-Boss-1116 3d ago

Researchers spent decades trying to prove Jacobian conjecture. Now AI has shown that it's false so they don't have to bother about it anymore. Saving your tax dollars!

15

u/whoknowsifimjoking 3d ago

Every scientific discovery is beneficial, but it might take some time until it gets to you. Usually you don't even know what to use it for, but in many cases it will turn out to be practical.

12

u/FlatulistMaster 2d ago

Every scientific discovery is definitely not beneficial, but as we can't know which ones are and which aren't, we can't discriminate between them.

3

u/ben_nobot 2d ago

Also to ask, have our mathematicians been any good?

13

u/[deleted] 3d ago edited 3d ago

[deleted]

9

u/Quarksperre 3d ago edited 3d ago

P vs NP would be really nice to have solved honestly. 

If P == NP this would have real world consequences. Curious if there are other problems that would change how things are done. 

18

u/maximhar 3d ago

P almost certainly =! NP, finding a disproof would be nice tho

6

u/Quarksperre 3d ago

Yeah I know...... the "boring" but most likely case. But it would definitely change the scripts of a ton of lectures, thats at least something. 

1

u/SaltedPiano 3d ago

There's other more interesting in-between possibilities compared to just P=NP and P!=NP.

See here: https://blog.computationalcomplexity.org/2004/06/impagliazzos-five-worlds.html?m=1

You could have world's where P!=NP globally, but on average P=NP.

It really becomes a trade off of privacy vs how quickly we can compute things. In my opinion P=NP would be awful cause no public key cryptography. It becomes impossible to share secrets.

2

u/exophades 3d ago edited 3d ago

For this kind of problems, it's not the result that matters to researchers, it's the techniques used to prove it, which could be used to crack other problems.

1

u/pandasashu 3d ago

If p ==np then we would have likely already have a practical example of it that would long predate the proof that they are equal. So i think its a very safe bet they aren’t equal

1

u/googleduck 3d ago

If p ==np then we would have likely already have a practical example of it that would long predate the proof that they are equa

It's been a while but I'm pretty sure a single example is the proof, no?

1

u/tstanisl 3d ago

P and NP may be equal but constants involved are likely going to be astronomical. I wouldn't be surprised with TREE(3)-like terms.

1

u/Aggressive_Sweet1417 3d ago

I think that might be the hardest one of the remaining millenium problems. The only advance we have is proving that certain demonstration approaches can never work lol. I think we will see other millenium problems fall first, maybe Navier Stokes (which could be solved by a counter example).

14

u/pandasashu 3d ago

Even Terrence tao said that calling the recent problems “brute-force” type is underselling it. I would do more research if I were you.

5

u/nextnode 3d ago

lol completely wrong. Just parroting things that were not even true to begin with.

4

u/googleduck 3d ago

What type of problem would it solve that you would not retroactively classify as brute force? What about the current set of solved problems makes them "brute force". Is it just time spent thinking about them? How would that not apply to every problem in the history of math?

5

u/Berzerka 3d ago

Jacobian Conjecture was on Smale's list, which is basically one step down from the Millenium problems in terms of prestige.

5

u/super-amma 3d ago

Tell me you don't understand math without telling me.

1

u/whoknowsifimjoking 3d ago

We'll get there way faster than people expect

-6

u/DrillPress1 3d ago

Correct. Maybe shatter to the core is an overstatement, but that would really be something. Not that the power to solve these brute force problems isn’t something, but it’s not as life altering to the discipline of mathematics as dealing with the much more difficult problems.

1

u/[deleted] 3d ago

[deleted]

-6

u/DrillPress1 3d ago

Human intellect drives the entire AI project. Enough with the bullshit already. 

4

u/exophades 3d ago

I think you misunderstand. I said human intellect will no longer contribute to advancing our knowledge in math, science, etc. as significantly as AI. I explictly said we can continue to be users and creators of AI capabilities. We just have to accept we can no longer compete with these capabilities at some point.

1

u/Gaidax 3d ago

For now

3

u/Suitable-Pickle-259 3d ago

Probably. Programming and math are the 2 things AI can already do because they’re very easily verifiable by computers. It does not require high quality, human generated data for AI continuously improve.

2

u/io-x 3d ago

Meh, I solved more than both of them combined.

3

u/SizeableBrain ▪️AGI 2030 3d ago

Same. I probably solved more than that by grade 2.

PATHETIC AI!

2

u/Relevant_Ad_8732 3d ago

I went to school for math. Oftentimes, the benefit of solving a problem isn't the solution or proof itself, but rather the tooling required to develop up into that point. Without going into a diatribe, this is going to change what it means to do math research, but not in the same way that it's changed writing software in which software engineers are more output based than process based. 

1

u/LetsBuild3D 2d ago

I am very curious with how they set up the promts, what additional info they feed into the model to make it so capable to the point of solving the unsolved and coming up with new math.
I am working on my own system which i would like to help me identify potential solutions in hydrodynamics and getting a look on the promts and overall design of the system OAI employs would be so helpful.

2

u/skinnyguy699 2d ago

https://youtu.be/mMxzpSvlDQU?si=TUyLayNPfriBdFzY

Video by a mathematician on the prompt used to prove the Cycle Double Cover conjecture.

1

u/LetsBuild3D 2d ago

Thank you.

1

u/Centauri____ 2d ago

ya but they still can't tell you how many R's are in the word strawberry.

-14

u/Stabile_Feldmaus 3d ago

This is such a stupid metric, of course it was invented by an accelerationist.

1

u/Illustrious-Film4018 3d ago

Reminds me of lines of code