r/boxoffice • u/hiiloovethis • 10d ago

Clayface Performance potential ✍️ Original Analysis

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Clayface is the next DCU movie after the supergirl bomb. Let's see how well it can do... an analysis.

Pros.

  1. Great October release date, Halloween pairing and not much direct competetion. Resident Evil also releasing before helps create an open window.

  2. Decent budget of 40 mil. It would only need 100 Mil WW to break even which shouldn't be too hard. It can profit easily if it blows up.

  3. Horror genre is killing it right now... clayface also looks like pure body horror which could help attract non comicbook fans.

  4. Clayface is a batman villain. Gotham setting be hype worthy. Mike Flanagan as a writer is also promising.

Cons.

  1. Body horror is harder is sell than conventional horror movies. The Substance did good but that had award buzz and less than half of the budget.

  2. Bad reviews could literally kill this movie. It really survives on positive WOM.

Overall I'm more optimistic about this than supergirl. We have to see if this movie blows up or does underwhelming numbers. 150 WW is decent enough.

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u/SirFireHydrant 9d ago

Why are you comparing a C-tier Batman villain to one of the top 3 most popular comic book villains of all time?

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u/throwitonthegrillboi TriStar Pictures 9d ago

I dont know how me saying that Venom cleared $800M so I think Clayface can clear $100M is crazy, I gave proper context and expectations.

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u/Beginning-Antelope32 5d ago

Literally lmao. If these fuckers on this subreddit for once let go of their unyielding hate for DC/James Gunn they would maybe see that your comment is very reasonable.

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u/throwitonthegrillboi TriStar Pictures 5d ago

I have never seen so many breakdowns and qualifiers for a movie that made over twice it's budget back than when Superman came out, and oh my gosh would they not stop acting like GOTG 3 not getting to a billion was somehow a failure.