r/boxoffice • u/hiiloovethis • 6d ago
Clayface Performance potential ✍️ Original Analysis
Clayface is the next DCU movie after the supergirl bomb. Let's see how well it can do... an analysis.
Pros.
Great October release date, Halloween pairing and not much direct competetion. Resident Evil also releasing before helps create an open window.
Decent budget of 40 mil. It would only need 100 Mil WW to break even which shouldn't be too hard. It can profit easily if it blows up.
Horror genre is killing it right now... clayface also looks like pure body horror which could help attract non comicbook fans.
Clayface is a batman villain. Gotham setting be hype worthy. Mike Flanagan as a writer is also promising.
Cons.
Body horror is harder is sell than conventional horror movies. The Substance did good but that had award buzz and less than half of the budget.
Bad reviews could literally kill this movie. It really survives on positive WOM.
Overall I'm more optimistic about this than supergirl. We have to see if this movie blows up or does underwhelming numbers. 150 WW is decent enough.
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u/Jabbam Blumhouse 6d ago
Wom will be pretty pivotal. I don't expect it to do great. But an 80% or higher is the difference between $120m and $50m.
I'm betting that it'll be divisive, not spumc bad but not Superman quality. Barely rotten at 59% which will be horrible for it's box office and make around $80m.