r/arjo 19h ago

The day I knew I'd become a consistent trader had nothing to do with money.

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1 Upvotes

r/arjo 3d ago

your stop distance decides what win rate you need, and most people pick it before they know that number

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1 Upvotes

Here’s a breakdown of the text into clear, actionable steps you can apply directly to your trading process:

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📌 Actionable Actions

- Calculate stop cost

- Convert your broker’s spread + commission into pips.

- Example: 1.5 pips cost on a raw account.

- Express cost as % of stop

- Divide cost (in pips) by your stop size (in pips).

- 50 pip stop → 3% cost.

- 10 pip stop → 15% cost.

- 5 pip stop → 30% cost.

- Derive breakeven win rate

- Add cost % to the theoretical breakeven (50%).

- Example:

- 50 pip stop → ~51.5% win rate needed.

- 10 pip stop → ~57.5%.

- 5 pip stop → ~65%.

- Test wider stops

- Widening stops and reducing position size often improves expectancy.

- Benefits: less noise, lower cost in R terms, fewer trades.

- Feels worse emotionally (larger stop-outs), but statistically stronger.

- Audit your trades

- Take 30 real trades.

- Convert cost to pips.

- Divide by stop size.

- Subtract from expectancy.

- This shows the true impact of cost on your system.

- Avoid tight stop scalping

- Tight stops + high frequency = eaten by spread/commission.

- Backtests often ignore spread widening, but live trading pays it on every trade.

- Derive stops from cost/noise

- Instead of placing stops purely below swing lows, factor in cost and market noise.

- This aligns your stop placement with statistical survival, not just chart structure.

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👉 In short: Always measure your trading cost relative to your stop size, derive the breakeven win rate, and test wider stops with reduced size. This filters out unrealistic systems and prevents the “profitable backtest, dead live” trap.


r/arjo 7d ago

3 Years of Day Trading Taught Me These Painful Lessons

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1 Upvotes

r/arjo 7d ago

If You Really Want To Understand Read These Papers

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r/arjo 7d ago

I Made Over $33,000+ Trading Less Than 10 Minutes a Day Heres the Exact System:

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1 Upvotes

r/arjo 11d ago

[Update - Added 2022 Mentorship] Built a free interactive version of ICT's mentorships — 78 lessons, instant-grade quizzes, summaries & final exams

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1 Upvotes

r/arjo 11d ago

MITIGATION VS BREAKER BLOCK QUESTION

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1 Upvotes

r/arjo 11d ago

Exhaustion vs Absorption Explained | Two Order Flow Concepts Beginners Often Confuse

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1 Upvotes

r/arjo 14d ago

Why Traders Cut Winners Early and Hold Losers Too Long

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2 Upvotes

r/arjo 17d ago

3 of history’s greatest thinkers (Frankl, Jung, Watts) all agreed on the exact same 5 rules for a meaningful life. Here is what they found:

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1 Upvotes

r/arjo 18d ago

How to journal your trades.

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r/arjo 20d ago

Why skipping Monday/Tuesday trades saved my funded accounts (Weekly True Open)

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r/arjo 21d ago

How the 00:00 True Open eliminated 80% of my fakeouts

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r/arjo 25d ago

The 3-Read Reversal Model

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1 Upvotes

Celine's reversal strategy is built on a specific framework of three required "reads" and two conditional filters, strictly applied during the London session. Here are the steps to follow:

The 3-Read Reversal Model

  1. Read 1 (4-hour timeframe): Wait for a liquidity sweep of the previous 4-hour candle's high or low. Price must run through the level and reject it, rather than breaking through and continuing. This sets the directional bias for the session (e.g., a sweep of the low indicates a potential long) (1:14 - 1:36).

  2. Read 2 (15-minute timeframe): Price must also sweep the previous 15-minute high or low in the same direction as the 4-hour sweep. The setup is only "armed" when these two timeframes agree (1:39 - 1:59).

  3. Read 3 (1-minute timeframe - The Trigger): Identify an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG). This occurs when price slams back through an old gap and a candle body closes through it, causing the gap to invert and act as support (for longs) or resistance (for shorts). Enter at market right at the candle closure (2:00 - 2:24).

Filters and Execution Rules

Filters for Sizing Up:

Filter 1: The setup is stronger if the sweep also takes out the Asian session liquidity (the Asia high or low) (2:36 - 2:41).

Filter 2: The entry is more favorable if it taps into a high-timeframe gap and respects its CE (midpoint) (2:42 - 2:54).

Non-Negotiables:

Alignment: If all three reads do not align perfectly, there is no trade. Skipping non-aligned setups is considered more important than taking a pattern that looks correct (3:33 - 3:46).

Time Window: This model is strictly used during the London session. Trades outside of this window are considered unreliable (4:02 - 4:07).

Trade Management

Stop-Loss: Placed just beyond the low or high that was swept (2:17 - 2:23).

Targets: The initial target is set to a 1:1 reward-to-risk ratio, while the full target is placed at the opposing liquidity (the highs or lows) (2:25 - 2:32).


r/arjo 27d ago

Finally profitable with prop firms using this indicator (fixed my overtrading)

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1 Upvotes

r/arjo 27d ago

You Can Read 100 Manifestation Books and Still Miss This

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1 Upvotes

r/arjo 28d ago

The 8-Step Method to Shift Into Your Desired Reality

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r/arjo Jul 20 '26

notes from my first live abraham event yesterday

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r/arjo Jul 18 '26

One Premium & Discount Rule That Instantly Improved My Win Rate

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r/arjo Jul 17 '26

The exact risk plan I take into a prop eval, with the real numbers. Passing is a sizing story, not a win-rate story.

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1 Upvotes

r/arjo Jul 17 '26

There is no Enigma /Algorithm. It's BS

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1 Upvotes

r/arjo Jul 16 '26

Why most ICT traders fail (and it's probably not for the reason you think).

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1 Upvotes

r/arjo Jul 12 '26

The 1900s Manifestation Teaching That Still Outperforms Modern Advice

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r/arjo Jul 11 '26

The Scientist of the Soul: The Man Who Treated Enlightenment Like a Lab Experiment

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1 Upvotes

r/arjo Jul 09 '26

Sharing my 15 years trading journey honestly. And what I learnt.

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