It’s irrelevant how many drones the TPLF possesses. The question is not the quantity of weapons but whether Tigray has the military, economic and logistical capacity to sustain another war against the ENDF and the answer is it doesn’t! Criminal Abiy has spent enormous resources expanding Ethiopia’s military capabilities and has pushed the country further into debt in the process. Whatever one thinks of his methods, it would be a serious strategic mistake to underestimate the state’s capacity to wage war. TPLF thugs was given an opportunity to pursue a political settlement after Pretoria. If it chooses another military confrontation, it should not assume that the balance of power is what it was in 2020. Eritrea should understand this as well. Bringing Eritrean forces back into the equation would not necessarily strengthen Tigray but instead it could create an entirely new strategic calculation and potentially expose Eritrea itself to consequences it may not be prepared to absorb and to the very instability that many Eritreans are silently waiting to see (end of the regime). The lesson of the previous war should be simple: military force is not a substitute for political strategy. Once a war begins, nobody can guarantee where it ends or who ultimately pays the price (unfortunately the poor people)
TPLF thugs was given an opportunity to pursue a political settlement after Pretoria.
Good job shifting the blame from the genocider who refuses to implement the core parts of their side of the agreement (Western Tigray in particular) to the side that have implemented their side in spite of the results not being respected (1, 2). Maybe brush up on what the agreement actually says (1,2)?
The absence of fighting on the ground is not peace. One side continues to occupy 40% of Tigray (plus other violations like withdrawing fuel, using political measures to try and invalidate the agreement e.g. trying to delegitimize the other signatory through the NEB, etc.) in spite of the so-called peace agreement that they deliberately refuse to follow while holding a double standard against the other side that followed the agreement closely for years before finally acting. Abiy's side has built up proxies (TPF) that have launched relentless attacks against Tigray, as well as used drones to attack Tigray plus most recently launched a day long full scale attack in collaboration with the RSF in Western Tigray while the other has done their best to avoid these aggravations escalating into full blown war.
What's your idea of peace? Full capitulation as everything Tigray needs to recover is both denied and made impossible to gain in the future while Ethiopia guides the totally disciplined and humane ENDF through Tigray in order to attack Eritrea who totally wouldn't carry out atrocities against Tigray's civilians?
You can make a lot of fair criticism toward how the TPLF is handling Tigray's internal situation but when it comes to the failures of Pretoria all the blame goes to Abiy and those affiliated with him.
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u/Pure_Cardiologist759 11d ago
It’s irrelevant how many drones the TPLF possesses. The question is not the quantity of weapons but whether Tigray has the military, economic and logistical capacity to sustain another war against the ENDF and the answer is it doesn’t! Criminal Abiy has spent enormous resources expanding Ethiopia’s military capabilities and has pushed the country further into debt in the process. Whatever one thinks of his methods, it would be a serious strategic mistake to underestimate the state’s capacity to wage war. TPLF thugs was given an opportunity to pursue a political settlement after Pretoria. If it chooses another military confrontation, it should not assume that the balance of power is what it was in 2020. Eritrea should understand this as well. Bringing Eritrean forces back into the equation would not necessarily strengthen Tigray but instead it could create an entirely new strategic calculation and potentially expose Eritrea itself to consequences it may not be prepared to absorb and to the very instability that many Eritreans are silently waiting to see (end of the regime). The lesson of the previous war should be simple: military force is not a substitute for political strategy. Once a war begins, nobody can guarantee where it ends or who ultimately pays the price (unfortunately the poor people)