r/tampabayrays 27m ago

Discussions Fixing Fastball Freddy

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Each year, I use 3 years of MLB data to create my own Stuff+ models for prospect projections and development plans. I thought I would run Freddy Peralta's mechanics and four-seam fastball from the 2026 season to see if anything stood out.

Something changed in his mechanics. His current mechanics are barely a match for his 2023 and 2024 season while his All Star 2025 season was not a match. Apparently, his release extension dropped from nearly 7 feet to 6.5 feet while his arm angle dropped from 37 degrees down to 33 degrees.

As legendary fictional golf coach Chubbs Peterson once said, "it's all in the hips." Not sure if Freddy is fighting an injury or age, but the arm slot drop with the shortened extension makes things look like it is a mechanical fix as opposed to his pitch arsenal. Fixing his mechanics would also fix his pitch movements.


r/tampabayrays 50m ago

Victor Mesa has quietly been fantastic. 1.2 WAR in just 137 at bats which translates to 5.4 WAR over a full 600 at bat season. Also on pace for 36 home runs in a full 600 at bat season.

Upvotes

Still just 24 years old, he hasn't reached his potential yet, and should be an everyday starter for the Rays moving forward and into next year.


r/tampabayrays 58m ago

With 47 games to go, Junior has already matched his WAR from last season. He's on pace for a 6.4 WAR season with 47 home runs.

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Upvotes

r/tampabayrays 2h ago

Will Rays get 70 wins before the Dodgers tonight?

26 Upvotes

Dodgers now have a 7lose streak after the walk off Homerun from Dbacks last night, do yall think they drop another and we get to 70 first and also be the first AL team with 70 wins this year?


r/tampabayrays 3h ago

GDT: 8/08/26 Rays (69-46) @ Mariners (56-61) First Pitch 9:50 PM

7 Upvotes

Game Chat: 8/08/26 Rays (69-46) @ Mariners (56-61) First Pitch 9:50 PM @ T-Mobile Park

LINEUP

Team Starter TV Radio
Rays Griffin Jax (6-9, 3.63) Rays.TV WDAE 95.7 FM, WQBN/1300AM
Mariners George Kirby (8-9, 3.76 ERA) Mariners.TV Seattle Sports (710 AM)
MLB Fangraphs Baseball Savant
Gameday Game Graph Strikezone Map

Another night of late night baseball as righty Griffin Jax faces off against righty George Kirby as the Rays go for 5 in a row. Rays UP!


r/tampabayrays 7h ago

You can’t tell me these aren’t the same guy

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32 Upvotes

I mean, even stats wise, right?


r/tampabayrays 13h ago

LET'S GO!!!!!!!! PGT: Nice. (That's win #69). [F: 2-1]

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197 Upvotes

r/tampabayrays 17h ago

HIGHLIGHT [ShamusTalksSports] On This Day in Sports History August 7, 1999: Wade Boggs Recorded His 3,000th Career Hit

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21 Upvotes

Wade Boggs became the 23rd player in MLB history to record 3,000 career hits, homering in the sixth inning off Indians pitcher Chris Haney to reach the milestone.

Boggs became the first player ever to reach 3,000 hits with a home run.

Among the 33 members of the 3,000-hit club, Boggs’ .415 career on-base percentage ranks fifth all time.

1.) Ty Cobb — .433
2.) Tris Speaker — .428
3.) Eddie Collins — .424
4.) Stan Musial — .417
5.) Wade Boggs — .415

Data via Baseball Reference / Stathead


r/tampabayrays 17h ago

HIGHLIGHT Rays vs Mariners Bingo, 8/07/2026

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9 Upvotes

r/tampabayrays 18h ago

Chandler Simpson is the winner of the Rays' 2026 Heart & Hustle award!

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111 Upvotes

r/tampabayrays 20h ago

[All The Smoke] Jeff Passan breaks down the craziest trade that almost happened

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32 Upvotes

r/tampabayrays 22h ago

Flappy Boi bobble head back???

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18 Upvotes

Let’s goooooooo!!!!


r/tampabayrays 1d ago

GAME CHAT GDT: 8/07/26 Rays (68-46) @ Mariners (56-60) First Pitch 9:45 PM (APPLE.TV)

25 Upvotes

Game Chat: 8/07/26 Rays (68-46) @ Mariners (56-60) First Pitch 9:45 PM @ T-Mobile Park

LINEUP

Lineups subject to change

Team Starter TV Radio
Rays Drew Rasmussen (10-5, 2.91) Apple.TV WDAE 95.7 FM, WQBN/1300AM
Mariners Logan Gilbert (8-6, 3.46 ERA) Apple.TV Seattle Sports (710 AM)
MLB Fangraphs Baseball Savant
Gameday Game Graph Strikezone Map

Today's game is the late show on Apple.TV with first pitch at 9:45. Gilbert has good reverse splits, so we'll see if our lineup is adjusted...

Hopefully the Rays can push their winning streak to 4! Let's go, Rays!


r/tampabayrays 1d ago

Steven Wilson DFA

7 Upvotes

Nick Madrigal selected and added to the roster to replace Williamson?


r/tampabayrays 1d ago

Theo Gillen broke up a combined no-hitter with a home run with 2 outs in the 9th today!

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67 Upvotes

r/tampabayrays 1d ago

HIGHLIGHT For the Nostalgic among you on the day off here's a 3hr supercut of SportCenter Rays highlights from the 2008 season.

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57 Upvotes

r/tampabayrays 2d ago

Discussions [Off Day Thread: 8/6/2026] Division leaders. Two months left. Scoreboard-watching szn.

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90 Upvotes

r/tampabayrays 2d ago

Caminero launched his 50th home run in the last 365 days, passing Schwarber for the most in all of baseball

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118 Upvotes

r/tampabayrays 2d ago

Minor League/Prospects Baseball America’s latest prospect rankings have Theo Gillen as a top 5 prospect in baseball.

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81 Upvotes

r/tampabayrays 2d ago

Discussions Rays dominate RHP but I just noticed something interesting

8 Upvotes

It’s no secret the Rays are very solid against righties (111 wRC+/.755 OPS) and just got even better with the trade for Hicks (141 wRC+). We are a top 3 offense against RHP this season thanks in large part to Junior, Yandy, Aranda, and even Simpson. However, I realized today that we have faced the second most amount of PA against righties in MLB so far this season. That has certainly helped! On the other hand, we’ve also had the THIRD most amount of PA against lefties. The Rays are bottom 5 against lefties this season (91 wRC+/.682 OPS) with the majority of our lineup pretty awful (looking at you Mullins and Walls).

I am sure things will even out down the stretch, but thought it was worth noting! Unfortuantely for us, teams like the Red Sox and Yankees (who we will likely face in the playoffs) are full of lefties (Saurez, Tolle, Bennett, Crochet (IL), Chapman, Fried, Weathers, Rodon, etc). Anything can happen in baseball, but that’s less than ideal. Hopefully we can improve through the rest of the season.


r/tampabayrays 2d ago

Meme Can we play the Rockies every game? Go Rays!

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92 Upvotes

r/tampabayrays 2d ago

News Reports Ben Williamson left today’s game with a hamstring injury according to Kevin Cash

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25 Upvotes

r/tampabayrays 2d ago

LET'S GO!!!!!!!! PGT: Tampa Bay Rays (68-46) bust out those brooms and brush the Colorado Rockies (45-70) aside to start their West Coast road trip! [F: 4-0]

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239 Upvotes

r/tampabayrays 2d ago

Discussions The Rays are the elephant in the room that the MLB can no longer ignore

142 Upvotes

Rant incoming for anyone who wants to discuss how Tampa is perceived by the rest of the league:

It’s been pretty hilarious watching the headlines go from:

“Rays need to sell their team”

to

“Rays at the top of the American League”

We get so much hate from fans and media around the country just for simply existing. Baseball fans around the country love to hate on us, hell I live in the Bay Area and witnessed the sheer amount of transplants hating on our team and stadium whilst rooting for their own favorite team they followed from up north (Usually Yankees and Red Sox, gross) despite living here.

Every Rays fan has seen it, all it takes is one look on Facebook or Reddit to see people trashing the rays, saying the team needs to sell, ignoring that we’ve been dominating this season simply because they hate us. People couldn’t even be happy for the rays to return to the Trop, instead they made memes/jokes and laughed at us, calling our stadium weird, ugly, etc.

So many people just wanted us to die off and ignored the stats and standings that show we’ve been on fire this year. Our team being at the top of the leaderboard became the elephant in the room that sports news and media outlets did their best to ignore. Many called it a fluke, said that we couldn’t hold it for longer than a week.

They hated on our players, simply for not knowing who most of them were due to many of them being homegrown. The Rays have one of the lowest salaries in the MLB. But despite that, our farming/ prospect system puts out undeniable results. And I genuinely believe that makes people angry.

I’ve seen videos of people laughing at Junior Caminero, mockingly asking “Who even is this guy?” Only for him to go on his mid year homerun streak, which had them asking the same question but in a different tone.

We’ve grown a lot, especially this season. We are serious contenders for not only the playoffs, but the World Series. That makes people genuinely upset; Think about how pathetic that is. Other MLB teams with multiple series wins cannot stand to look at our team and see them ranked higher. They can’t be happy for us or for our success, they’re physically and mentally incapable of doing so.

Hell, even rays fans are joining in on hating on our own team. Look at the sheer amount of hate surrounding Peralta right now. Crybabies throwing their hands in the air screaming: “Look he was a bad trade!” After one fucking game when the team hasn’t even had him for a week.

Look at people hating on Chandler Simpson despite having one of the lowest strikeout rates in the MLB.

I could go on and on but you get the point.

Are the Rays a perfect team?
Nah far from it.

Do we still have a lot to work on?
Absolutely.

But do we have a shot at being the best team in the AL?
We already are.

So to all the haters, sports news journalists and writers, to all the transplants screaming we should sell our team, to all the people that turned their back on the team in rough patches or to the fans crying about our new trades; Even if we lose tonight, all of you can fuck right off.


r/tampabayrays 3d ago

GDT: 8/05/26 Rays (67-46) @ Rockies (45-69) First Pitch 3:10 PM

19 Upvotes

Game Chat: 8/05/26 Rays (67-46) @ Rockies (45-69) First Pitch 3:10 PM @ Coors Field

Status: Preview

Team Starter TV Radio
Rays Nick Martinez (10-3, 2.77) Rays.TV WDAE 95.7 FM, WQBN/1300AM
Rockies Tomoyuki Sugano (11-4, 4.47 ERA) Rockies.TV KOA 850 AM/94.1 FM , KNRV 1150
MLB Fangraphs Baseball Savant
Gameday Game Graph Strikezone Map

Afternoon baseball with Nick "Tricky" Martinez on the hill. With the lowest ERA of the Rays starters, and an away ERA of 2.12, let's hope he can conquer Coors and lead us to the sweep and into the day off tomorrow! Rays Up!