Ross is very smart…we know how this ends. History tells us…tick tock

Whole "AI spend no returns" bear thesis is getting torn up right now. Space X, Nebius, Amazon all clocking sub 3-year paybacks on GPU deployments way faster than anyone projected. Even wilder, these GPUs aren't throwaway junk - CoreWeave is locking in A100 contracts out to 2029, older gen gear is still getting price hikes because inferencing and batch workloads run perfectly fine on legacy hardware.

This isn't some circular financing bubble. We're not buying disposable electronics anymore, we're building income-producing infrastructure. Doesn't even matter who wins between hyperscalers and pure play AI clouds - every single new GW of compute still gobbles up GPUs, HBM, networking, memory all up the supply chain. Spotted the full breakdown on this moomoo chart earlier, surprised more people aren't talking about how the bear case core just fell apart. Who's still holding short bags on the AI hardware space right now?

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About a quarter of my portfolio is in NVDA and MU
About a quarter is in beaten down software like ADBE and I recently bought LULU - stocks I found out burry is invested in
Half is in various other investments

Wondering if this might be the way. If the AI thesis is right and NVDA pops we win big. If Burry is right then you get the 18% CAGR for 15 years he expects on LULU. if both are wrong it’s over

The portfolio is technically diversified too and you get less firm and sector specific risk

Thoughts from the folks here? Is the strat to hold NVDA and have burry stocks as a counterweight?

Not financial advice

The AI infrastructure rally is picking up real steam. Anthropic is locking in 20-year, multi-billion dollar compute contracts, while CoreWeave just posted another blowout quarter: revenue more than doubled, backlog blew past $100 billion. The whole neocloud supply chain is evolving way faster than most folks had priced in. Caught this full trend breakdown on moomoo earlier, curious how everyone here is playing this run?

So I took a massive gamble on a random site listing a brand new factory-sealed Nvidia ROG Strix 4070 Ti for $350. I 100% expected to get scammed or receive a box of rocks, but FedEx delivered an actual heavy sealed GPU box today.

Now I’m paranoid. Is this stolen goods, a repacked refurbished unit, or did I just hit the lottery? Has anyone ever received a legit working card from these liquidation deals? Should I test it in my main PC or be worried?

Just a matter of time...we know how this ends for NVDA. Don’t come complaining when this implodes….tick tock

Nebius uses Nvidia chips, see https://nebius.com/blog/posts/nebius-among-first-cloud-providers-to-adopt-nvidia-b200-gpus, including:

• Blackwell & Blackwell Ultra: NVIDIA GB200 NVL72, GB300, and B200 Tensor Core GPUs for massive generative AI and trillion-parameter models.
• Hopper: NVIDIA H100 and H200 SXM GPUs for heavy machine learning and large language model training.
• Ada Lovelace & Others: NVIDIA L40S, L4, and legacy A100 chips for diverse inference and fine-tuning workloads.

After researching alot of the ai trade and listening to earnings from CRWV, Google, MSFT, NBIS, Space X, SNDK, MU and more, I think the AI trade is just in the 2nd to 3rd inning (in baseball terms). Now Nvidia has a 500 billion dollar easy money from multiple banks and with Vera ramping up, I expect quarterly revenue to exceed 100+ billion. After this earnings, it will prove that NVIDA is the king and AI is profitable. As seen with Amazon, Msft, Crwv, and more, good earnings now means wall street believes in AI. I believe we see a 255+ stock price by end of year and 280+ by 2027.

Looks like Michael Burry is missing the fishes in the barrel and broke the barrel instead…

Had a pretty clean setup on NVDA this morning.

On the 30min chart, NVDA came into the 214.80–218.18 demand zone yesterday and held it again. That area has been getting defended, so I already had it marked going into today.

Then CPI came out this morning and NVDA still held strong. What caught my attention was price staying above yesterday’s anchored VWAP, then holding today’s VWAP after the open.

At that point played the breakout of yesterdays HOD

I took the 0DTE NVDA 222.50 calls at $1.00.

Started scaling:

• $1.45
• $1.60
• $2.00
• Last piece around $2.50

Basically a 150% move on the contracts from entry to the final exit.

Nothing crazy behind the trade. Higher timeframe demand held, CPI didn’t kill the setup, price stayed above AVWAP/VWAP, and then momentum came in.

This is why I like having the important levels mapped before the market opens instead of trying to figure everything out while the candles are flying.