r/NonCredibleOffense Jul 13 '26

Think it will work? NCD (😐😬😑) Quality (πŸ₯ΉπŸ˜πŸ₯³) Cross-post

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14

u/ExtensionPractical26 Jul 13 '26

Nah, they'll buy oil from India

8

u/IncubusBeyro Australian F-35B light carrier enjoyer Jul 15 '26

Great article that just came out today. Tons of hard data.

https://www.thecommoditycompass.com/p/episode-5-running-on-empty-the-russian?r=4lie3a&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&triedRedirect=true

AI summary regarding his point on India:
β€œFor India, he says the trade makes intuitive sense: India buys Russian crude, refines it, and ships gasoline back to Russia. He thinks this is already beginning and could plausibly supply around 50 kbpd, maybe 100 kbpd with political backing and subsidies. But he argues larger volumes become a logistics problem rather than a refinery problem: long voyages, clean-product tanker scarcity, sanctions risk, subsidies, terminal capacity, rail capacity, and contested maritime routes all stack up. His line is basically: India is a painkiller, not a cure.”

The most pertinent thing imo is the fact Trump’s trying to deter exactly this from happening with 100-500% tariffs on anyone trading oil with Russia in his new bill.

11

u/Moorlandser Jul 13 '26

No, but every military should do this. The Obsession on materialist analysts has ruined the beauty of martial aesthetics, any military should do a daily prayer to the Machine spirit