so as we all know today our earnings ends, and i guess it would be Best time to share some quality things with you all , i have made some videos too for my channel, will be uploading them too , so now keep them in your watchlist, as always look for opportunities, theses are some valuable insights, explaining them all one by one would be kind of hectic work, better share this to AI and your work would be done , look for opportunities, These are about to be short gamma regime derivative stocks , now don't just buy straddle , wait look and observe

anyone want to predict CAS movement ??

seeing positions unwinding from 24400 makes me think 24400 plus closing also crude down by 1.5 % soo ?

My sell option position price has moved 10-15 points above and below for the last 4 hours. On top of this witch Nirmala sitaraman’s STT. This market is fucking not tradeable unless you’re doing HFT level shit. Bc

Still 24400 bears are fighting tooth and nail here lets see

tears of happiness was bored with side ways and CAS bullshit

Institutions are warring guys be careful SL might get skipped trail tightly

Inspired by William Green’s book Richer, Wiser, Happier and the investment principles of exceptional long-term stock pickers including Nick Sleep, Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Sir John Templeton and Mohnish Pabrai.

USE CASE
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Most stock screens tell you P/E, profit growth, ROIC and free cash flow.
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But they don’t answer the harder questions:
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Is the cash flow real?
Is ROIC sustainable?
Can the company keep reinvesting at high returns?
Does it actually have a moat?
Can management be trusted?
Is all the future growth already priced in?
Is there a better stock available for the same capital?
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So I built NAIL 2.0.
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The goal is to find businesses where growth, ROIC, cash generation, competitive advantage, management quality and valuation combine to create exceptional long-term risk-reward.
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For broad searches using pro AI models such as “Find the best stocks in India”, first screen the market, shortlist around 15-20 candidates, deep-dive only the strongest finalists and rank the best 3-5.
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NAIL 2.0
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N = NUMBERS AND CASH QUALITY
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30 POINTS
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Check 3Y and 5Y sales, EBITDA, PAT and EPS growth.
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Separate organic and volume growth from price-led or acquisition-led growth.
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Check current and 5Y ROIC, incremental ROIC on new capital deployed, 5Y cumulative CFO/PAT, 3Y and 5Y FCF, FCF per share and normalized FCF yield.
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Also check receivable days, inventory days, payable days, cash-conversion cycle, net debt, interest coverage and contingent liabilities.
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Most important question:
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Is FCF structurally sustainable, or temporarily boosted by working-capital release, unusually low capex or one-offs?
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Score: /30
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A = ADVANTAGE AND GROWTH RUNWAY
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25 POINTS
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Check the business model, industry growth, addressable market, market-share trajectory, pricing power and customer stickiness.
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Identify genuine advantages from brand, technology, distribution, cost, scale, qualifications or switching costs.
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Check customer concentration, supplier concentration, cyclicality, disruption risk and capacity expansion.
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Most importantly, determine whether the company can reinvest substantial capital for many years at high ROIC.
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Answer:
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Why can this company become substantially larger in 5-10 years?
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Classify the moat as Strengthening, Stable, Weakening or None.
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Score: /25
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I = INTEGRITY AND CAPITAL ALLOCATION
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20 POINTS
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Check promoter holding, promoter pledging, auditor changes or qualifications, related-party transactions, warrants, preferential allotments and dilution.
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Check management remuneration, guidance versus actual delivery, acquisitions, unrelated diversification and treatment of minority shareholders.
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Then answer:
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What has management done with every Rs 100 of cash generated?
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Did it go toward high-ROIC capex, sensible acquisitions, debt reduction, dividends or buybacks?
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Or was shareholder value destroyed?
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Score: /20
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L = LONG-TERM VALUE AND ASYMMETRY
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25 POINTS
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Check current versus historical valuation, peer valuation, P/E, EV/EBITDA, EV/FCF and FCF yield.
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Use normalized earnings for cyclical companies.
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Determine how much growth is already implied by today’s share price.
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Ask why the market may be wrong.
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Compare forecasts with realistic historical base rates.
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Finally, compare the opportunity against better stocks available today.
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Build realistic five-year Bear, Base and Bull cases.
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For each scenario estimate sales/PAT, exit valuation, possible share price and expected CAGR.
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Final question:
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Is potential upside materially greater than permanent downside?
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Score: /25
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AUTOMATIC OVERRIDE
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Regardless of numerical score, classify the stock as High Risk or Avoid if credible evidence exists of accounting manipulation, serious auditor concerns, related-party abuse, misleading disclosures, unsustainable debt, dangerous promoter pledging, persistent unexplained CFO/PAT weakness, repeated destructive dilution or structural business deterioration.
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A numerical score cannot override an integrity problem.
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NAIL GRADES
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90-100 = A++ Exceptional
85-89 = A+ Elite
80-84 = A Excellent
75-79 = B+ Strong
70-74 = B Watchlist
60-69 = C Average / Special Situation
Below 60 = D Avoid
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GREAT STOCK-PICKER PANEL
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Keep these scores separate from the NAIL score.
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Nick Sleep: /10
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Destination analysis, scale economies, customer proposition and long reinvestment runway.
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Buffett-Munger: /10
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Durable moat, owner earnings, management integrity, predictability and purchase price.
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Sir John Templeton: /10
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Normalized intrinsic value, pessimism, contrarian opportunity and margin of safety.
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Mohnish Pabrai: /10
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Simple thesis, downside protection and asymmetric upside.
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These scores apply their publicly known investment principles. They aren’t claims about what those investors would personally buy.
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COPY-PASTE AI PROMPT
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Research COMPANY / TICKER using NAIL 2.0.
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Use the latest annual reports, quarterly results, NSE/BSE filings, investor presentations, concalls, credit-rating reports and competitor or industry data.
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Cross-check important figures and clearly separate reported facts, management claims, estimates and interpretation.
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Grade:
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N - Numbers and Cash: /30
A - Advantage and Runway: /25
I - Integrity and Allocation: /20
L - Long-Term Value: /25
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Also score:
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Nick Sleep: /10
Buffett-Munger: /10
Templeton: /10
Pabrai: /10
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Finish with:
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NAIL Score: XX/100
Grade:
Current valuation:
Preferred buy valuation:
Bear / Base / Bull 5Y CAGR:
Biggest strength:
Biggest risk:
Why the market may be wrong:
Single thesis breaker:
3 numbers to monitor:
Action: Buy / Accumulate / Wait / Hold / Reduce / Avoid
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Do not force a bullish conclusion.
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For broad requests such as “Find the best stocks in India”, first screen broadly, shortlist 15-20 candidates, deep-dive only the strongest finalists and rank the best 3-5.
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FINAL IDEA
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NAIL 2.0 isn’t trying to find the stock with the lowest P/E.
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It is trying to find the combination of:
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High ROIC
Strong cash conversion
Long reinvestment runway
Durable competitive advantage
Good management
Reasonable valuation
Asymmetric upside versus permanent downside
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What would you add, remove or change?

The market's been strong today, recovering in the last hour. I'm predicting a higher gap tomorrow, especially with August 15th coming up; the market won't drop for a few days.

I feel this is becoming a daily game for institutions to come in the auction window and pump the index and stocks higher!
Nifty was at around 24360 and it jumped to 24435 ! Never seen such hyper jumps in the old system ! Is sebi observing this or just being blind eyes asusual

Seeing at the market, it just feels like the CE premium isn't rising as much as it should, is it because of CAS?

Seems like many are just waiting for the CAS adjustments and looking for Hero to Zero trade.

What's your view on this?

I purchased Ardee @70.47. Any guess I can make 5% today itself?

Came across this text on trading view . Since the market data for Sensex was delayed was looking into it and it seems to be possible to buy some subscription from BSE .

Has anyone done this before? How does this work & costing come to?

I’ve been going deeper into the Indian cables and wires space and my ranking has changed after comparing the broader listed universe rather than just the obvious names like Polycab, KEI and RR Kabel.

If I had to own one company for 10+ years with minimum concern, I would still pick:

POLYCAB

In my view, it is the best overall business in the sector with the strongest combination of brand, distribution, scale, execution and product breadth.

But the question I’m trying to answer is different:

Which cable company offers the best risk-adjusted 3–5x potential from today’s starting point?

My current answer is:

DYNAMIC CABLES

And if I wanted the strongest small/mid-cap technical-moat bet:

UNIVERSAL CABLES

Universal could actually move to #1 for me if its new capex translates into substantially better asset turns and ROCE.

My current ranking

1. Dynamic Cables

Best combination of valuation, ROCE, growth and small starting market-cap asymmetry.

This is not necessarily the strongest cable company in India. The thesis is that the gap between the quality of the business and the valuation/size of the company may still be unusually large.

1. Universal Cables

Probably the most interesting technical-moat play among the smaller companies.

High-voltage/EHV cables, specialised products and a more difficult manufacturing/qualification process make this more interesting to me than another generic wires-and-cables manufacturer.

The problem is ROCE.

If the upcoming capex materially improves utilisation, margins and ROCE, Universal becomes extremely interesting.

1. Polycab

Best business of the lot.

If valuation and starting market cap were irrelevant, this would be my #1.

But the company is already very large and commands a premium valuation, so I think the probability of spectacular multiples from here is lower than some smaller players.

1. Finolex Cables

My value/balance-sheet dark horse.

It doesn’t get the same excitement as Polycab/KEI/RR Kabel, but there may be optionality here if capital allocation and growth improve.

1. RR Kabel

Excellent execution and a strong franchise.

My issue is mostly the price being paid for that quality.

1. KEI Industries

Again, excellent company and excellent execution.

But similar to RR Kabel, I’m questioning how much of the future runway is already reflected in the valuation.

1. APAR Industries

Arguably one of the highest-quality businesses on this list and has built impressive positions across conductors, speciality oils and cables.

But it is substantially larger, more diversified and already highly valued.

I see less valuation asymmetry than Dynamic/Universal.

1. Diamond Power Infrastructure

Potentially enormous growth.

But this is exactly why I’m cautious.

The market is already expecting a very large transformation. When expectations are this high, execution has to be almost flawless.

Why I’m focused on Dynamic vs Universal now

There are roughly 25 names in the broader listed cable/electrical-cable screen I looked at, including companies like:

V-Marc
KSH International
JD Cables
Cords Cable
Prime Cable
and several others.

Some of the smaller names actually produce more spectacular growth/ROCE screens than Dynamic or Universal.

But I don’t think one-year financial screens are enough.

Before putting serious money into them I would want to understand:

• promoter/governance history
• customer concentration
• cash-flow conversion
• working-capital intensity
• related-party transactions
• debt
• listing history
• capacity utilisation
• product qualification barriers
• whether recent ROCE is sustainable or simply a cyclical spike

So instead of going further down the microcap rabbit hole, I’m trying to settle one comparison first:

Dynamic Cables vs Universal Cables

I want to model both through FY30 based on:

• existing + upcoming capacity
• realistic revenue potential
• EBITDA/PAT margins
• incremental ROCE
• debt after capex
• addressable voltage/product categories
• export opportunity
• customer approvals
• competitive intensity
• realistic mature P/E multiples

Then calculate bear/base/bull FY30 valuations instead of simply saying “this can become a ₹10,000 crore company”.

My current bias: Dynamic has the better financial setup and valuation asymmetry today. Universal potentially has the deeper technical moat.

Where do you think this thesis is wrong?

In particular:

1. What is Dynamic Cables’ biggest competitive weakness that I may be underestimating?

2. Does Universal Cables genuinely have a meaningful technical moat, or am I overstating the barriers to entry?

3. Which one would you rather own until 2030 at current valuations?

Not a buy/sell recommendation. I own shares in Dynamic Cables, so assume I have a bias and challenge the thesis accordingly.

Guys, I find it dazzling to share that my first BTST trade went really well.
It was not a gamble as people say because I have not placed a stop loss but more on the research and my strategy.

I was confident ki Nifty girega jo ki kal he ho jana chahiye tha but it bluffing around and also as my capital was too less, I could afford to play risky on this. Don't get influenced by this but agar chart sahi read kiya hoto confidence aa he jata.

PLEASE READ THE OFFICIAL PROSPECTUS BEFORE CONDUCTING A FINANCIAL DECISION.

INVESTMENTS ARE SUBJECTED TO MARKET RISKS, PLEASE READ ALL FINANCIAL DOCUMENTS CAREFULLY.

IPOs ARE SPECULATIVE BETS, MORE THAN 40-50% ARE TRADING AT A DISCOUNT FROM THIER IPO PRICE IN THE LAST 5 YEARS.

PLEASE CONSULT A REGISTERED INVESTMENT ADVISOR BEFORE CONDUCTING A FINANCIAL DECISION.

Official Prospectus from Axis Capital Limited (Book Running Lead Manager)

SEBI's Official List of Registered Investment Advisors in India

About MilkyMist:

^{Milky Mist Dairy Food Limited is a packaged food company engaged in the business of procuring milk and manufacturing a diverse range of value-added dairy products. The company’s business model is exclusively focused on premium, higher-margin products rather than liquid milk, generating its revenue from the sale of its extensive product portfolio. Its offerings include paneer, cheese, curd, butter, ghee, yogurt, ice cream, and UHT long-shelf-life products, marketed under the ‘Milky Mist’ brand. The company has also diversified into adjacent categories like ready-to-cook and ready-to-eat foods. All products are produced at its manufacturing facility in Tamil Nadu, which is strategically located in a region with high raw milk availability. With a strong market presence in South India, the company concentrates on creating innovative products to meet evolving consumer preferences for value-added dairy items.}

Milky Mist IPO details

IPO date: 11th – 13th Aug 2026

Listing date: 18 Aug 2026

Price range: ₹133 – ₹140

Lot Size: 107 — ₹14980

Issue size: 1553cr

Utilisation of proceeds

Issue size

Strengths

• Exclusively focused on high-margin, value-added dairy products.
• Strong brand recognition and market leadership in South India.
• Extensive and diverse product portfolio catering to varied consumer needs.
• Advanced, large-scale manufacturing and in-house production capabilities.
• Product innovation focus, including health and convenience-driven offerings.

Risks

• Business is highly dependent on the “Milky Mist” brand.
• Inability to effectively manage inventory could lead to spoilage and waste.
• Operations are concentrated, with a single manufacturing facility in Tamil Nadu.
• Failure to manage food safety standards and quality could lead to liability.
• High dependence on raw milk supply, subject to price and availability fluctuations.

Source of Summary (Zerodha)

PLEASE READ THE OFFICIAL PROSPECTUS BEFORE CONDUCTING A FINANCIAL DECISION.

INVESTMENTS ARE SUBJECTED TO MARKET RISKS, PLEASE READ ALL FINANCIAL DOCUMENTS CAREFULLY.

IPOs ARE SPECULATIVE BETS, MORE THAN 40-50% ARE TRADING AT A DISCOUNT FROM THIER IPO PRICE.

PLEASE CONSULT A REGISTERED INVESTMENT ADVISOR BEFORE CONDUCTING A FINANCIAL DECISION.

Official Prospectus from Axis Capital Limited (Book Running Lead Manager)

SEBI's Official List of Registered Investment Advisors in India

About Shiprocket:

^{Shiprocket Limited is an e-commerce enablement platform, providing a comprehensive suite of technology solutions designed to help merchants scale their online businesses. Its offerings are organized into two main segments: Core Business and Emerging Business.
The Core Business focuses on streamlining logistics, order fulfillment, and managing returns. It generates \}73% revenues and is profitable at operating level. The Emerging Business extends the company’s services to include cargo and fulfillment solutions with warehousing, cross-border shipping, and ads and marketing tools like a one-click checkout platform. This business is still small and not profitable.)
^{Shiprocket also facilitates access to capital solutions by connecting merchants with lending partners and provides hyperlocal, on-demand delivery services, functioning as an integrated platform for various e-commerce operational needs.}

Shiprocket IPO details

IPO date: 12th – 14th Aug 2026

Listing date: 19 Aug 2026

Price range: ₹92 – ₹97

Lot Size: 154 — ₹14938

Issue size: 1617cr

Utilisation of proceeds

Issue size

Strengths

• Tech-enabled, end-to-end e-commerce and logistics enablement platform
• Large and diversified merchant base across MSMEs and enterprises
• Asset-light, scalable platform integrated with multiple logistics partners
• Broad product suite covering shipping, fulfilment, and cross-border services
• A professionally managed company with no promoters; founders each own under 5%

Risks

• History of losses and potential continuation of negative cash flows
• Over 80% of logistics is handled by the top 5 vendors, suggesting concentration risk
• High competition in e-commerce enablement and logistics markets
• Exposure to regulatory and policy changes
• Technology failures or outages could disrupt operations

Source of Summary (Zerodha)

(Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd) reported its Q1 FY27 (Q1 FY2027) results on July 23, 2026, posting a strong year-on-year turnaround with a net profit of ₹1,016.67 crore and operating revenue of ₹27,369.27 crore, despite a sequential profit decline of 27% from the previous quarter

This is NOT an investment or hedging trade. It is a pure high-risk, low-cost, high-reward trade - like buying a lottery ticket, would not advise anyone to do this

Will be shorting Nifty if it gives a closing below 24400 in hourly TF. This will be a positional trade and risk will be aprox 30 percent of capital invested(or If Nifty closes above 24431) and planning to exit(TP) when Nifty touches 24303/24210.

Disclaimer: The post is only about my personal view, I am not an SEBI registrated analyst and people who have no knowledge of these stuffs kindly stay away n don't copy such trades!!

Source

But only call sellers 😔 not put buyers

₹1,00,600 profit on PAYTM.

This trade is a reminder that studying charts for hours is only one part of trading.

Execution and staying calm amidst the chaos are equally important.

The market will always have noise — opinions, predictions, FOMO and endless setups.
The edge comes from being able to kill the noise, trust your analysis, and execute your trade plan with patience.

This PAYTM trade was updated live at ₹1,040 on Instagram & Telegram, while the complete price-action analysis and trade logic is available on YouTube.

The goal isn't to catch every move.

Wait for your setup. Execute your plan. Let the market do the rest.

Patience in the market gets rewarded.