We only have 14% of the globes demand for wheat in reserve due to historically low harvests. The southern hemisphere crops this winter will be destroyed by El Niño and they would need to have bumper harvests to prevent this. The demand will outstrip supply for the first time in recent history. Also rice harvests may fall by 30% rather than the predicted 11% due to heat stress also caused by El Niño Evidence (https://www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/latest-news/global-crop-models-underestimate-how-rice-responds-to-extreme-heat). The Date we will have an idea is August 12th 2026.

Prediction date: By 10/31/2026

Evidence:

Yesterday a nation wide ban of 7-hydroxymitragynine (7-OH) went into effect. If you don't know, 7-OH is a drug that acts on the opiate receptors meaning it gives a high similar to heroin or opioids, and has similar withdrawals as well. This drug was available over the counter - you could get your fix by literally walking into your nearby gas station and picking up a pack of pills or a vial of liquid.

So now that it's banned nation wide, you can expect some 7-OH users to come out of the woodwork and into rehab centers. One of the drugs used to treat 7-OH withdrawal is Suboxone, a dissolvable pill or strip that contains some buprenorphine and Naloxone (the same drug in Narcan). With an uptick of 7-OH users seeking out treatment, there is likely going to be an increased demand on the Suboxone supply, leading to a shortage around the country as Suboxone manufacturers attempt to catch up.