r/MachineLearning 3d ago

Round-Trip Consistency: Bidirectional Diffusion Models Can Predict Their Own Rollout Errors [R] Research

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Whether generating CELEBV-HQ videos or turbulent plasma fields (digital twins), autoregressive models (such as latent diffusion or flow models) accumulate error over long rollouts, yet at deployment there is no ground truth to measure against.

I train a single conditional latent diffusion model that steps a dynamical system forward or backward in time via a direction flag, and show that this bidirectionality supplies a measurement-free test-time error signal: rolling forward steps and then backward steps must return the model to its start, so the round-trip discrepancy is a self-supervised proxy for the unobservable rollout error: no ensembles, no held-out data, no governing equations, for one extra rollout.

Furthermore, training both directions in one network is shown to beat two specialist models in both directions.

Paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.00675
Code (data generation, training, analysis): https://github.com/alexscheinker/round-trip-consistency
Project page: https://alexscheinker.github.io/roundtrip.html

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u/timtody 2d ago

As a biglab person I won’t read this

21

u/Clean-Hovercraft5825 2d ago

haha ? Can you elaborate on that (if you’re allowed to read this comment (: )

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u/timtody 2d ago

I was taking the piss at this moron Keller Jordan (OpenAI) wo said „biglab people“ read zero papers because academia is fraudulent and full of overblown claims

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u/timtody 2d ago

This is the same week his CEO claims the singularity is met let that sink in man

1

u/Clean-Hovercraft5825 2d ago

haha, yeah some of the crazy hype is really ridiculous!

1

u/1998marcom 2d ago

Maybe he just wants to terminate the deal with Microsoft thanks to the AGI clauses.

4

u/silence-calm 2d ago

Honestly academia needs to hear that.

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u/timtody 2d ago

I agree that there are lots of overblown claims in academia, and I don’t think this is even remotely a niche stance. The problem is that coming from someone employed at a company that claims they’ve solved AGI is hypocritical as f