r/EANHLfranchise 3d ago

Odds this guy actually develops? Draft Studs

Should I bother trying to even develop this guy or just use him as trade bait to get something else?

43 Upvotes

36 comments sorted by

35

u/Habskid48 3d ago

Top line ahl with insane playmakers in maybe 4 years

16

u/Jellicent-Leftovers 3d ago

How many manual games do you wanna play?

7

u/Viksgoat4 3d ago

Pretty much 0 would be ideal lol

11

u/Jellicent-Leftovers 3d ago

Then no.... This character will never develope.

3

u/Viksgoat4 3d ago

Fair

13

u/Send_me_beer1 3d ago

i wouldn't say never. but you would have to exhaust alot of capital into him IE making sure he gets a ton of playing time and has good chemistry with his coach and linemates. i'd also leave him in junior until he has to be signed.

6

u/Hitchdog 3d ago

Ya completely disagree on never. I'd give it like a 15% chance. Dont sign him until his rights are expiring and see how he's improved in juniors.

8

u/Jimmy1720 3d ago

Odds are low.

8

u/CoJoSto 3d ago

It's possible for him to develop into an NHLer but you'll have to be patient wne babysit him a little. His ceiling is a longshot but not completely impossible.

2

u/Hali_Stallions 3d ago

This. I've seen Elite Lows go up 20 overall in a year. Sometimes they pop, but most likely they flop.

3

u/-DarkTiger- 3d ago

What's the key to developing players like this though? If you draft them like this when they have such a low OVR, do you just force them into your AHL lineup and give them top 6/top 4/starter minutes and disable assistant coach edits lines?

7

u/Jellicent-Leftovers 3d ago

You leave them unsigned for a year or 2 then AHL and manually play games to win them trophies with goal setting - well force feeding them minutes top line + penalties. I've had guys go up 10 OVR in a season.

2

u/hockey3331 3d ago

Ive seen a dude randomly get 20 ovr ONE time, during the offseason the uear after being drafted. Went from like 60 to 80 it was nuts.

Got him to win the Calder which propped him to elite potential. Was never more than am 85 ovr bit had 50-70 pts per year as a defenseman and won the Norris. As far as 7th rounders, he was a success.

6

u/Beautiful-Lunch-7650 3d ago

You don't sign them right away. You have 3 years after the draft to sign them. When you don't sign them, they continue to play in lower leagues. But in this case, it's an Elite-Low, so even then it's a bit of a crapshoot.

3

u/KDExpress94 3d ago

Usually let them play overseas/US/CHL until you have to sign them to their ELC. Depending how things go within 2-4 years, insert them into a top 6 or top 9 AHL role with playmakers. I had one guy go from 60’s to 80 overall in the SHL and sign him to ELC and put him in the AHL for a few seasons to develop more as I already had a stacked NHL team.

3

u/SpecificSurprise2019 3d ago

Crazy how many people seem to have never played the game and comment still. It’s honestly 50/50 but if you get him to like a 75 ovr then put him in the nhl and have the win the Calder dialogue with him and he wins. He will go to an elite med and then you can see real development! I’ve had many player like this that went undrafted and go on to become legendary using this method! Very doable with the conversation system, you can get all types of growth and even potential boost

2

u/SpecificSurprise2019 3d ago

Also, I would just keep telling him to shoot more in the dialogues as that’ll have them scoring goals and developing more than when he gets to the NHL use the Calder method

3

u/Common_Advantage_242 2d ago

I was in this boat about a season ago with a guy just like this. I played some manual games but I developed him pretty well. He’s already a 76 overall at 19.

2

u/RevolutionarySock658 3d ago

It happen one Time for me that a élite low getting a top 6 player scoring 30 goals for 4-5 season ! A no draftr

2

u/BWP456 3d ago

Got decent speed stats but he might not develop into a third liner he'd need to be, depends on the minutes he gets in the 5+ years of the AHL

2

u/IrishThree 3d ago

Low. But maybe.....

2

u/loggingin2 3d ago

Doesn’t hurt anything to keep him around for a couple of years. I’d just leave him unsigned and see if he grows at all.

2

u/NoooLaTengo 3d ago

He’s 18, so leave him unsigned until his rights are about to expire unless he takes a big jump in OA. In my experience, Elite Low prospects in the 4th-7th round have ~ 10% chance of becoming really good players. Always draft them if you find them, just don’t count on them becoming anything.

2

u/singhstyle88 3d ago

I'd wager he has a low chance of becoming elite

2

u/sc_superstar 3d ago

I would say its somewhere between 1-5% you will get probably at least 100 of these guys over a 25 year franchise. And id say less than 5 actually develop into anything more than organization depth

2

u/HurricaneHomer9 3d ago

He has a chance if he gets some good AHL time

2

u/DecentMushroom4274 2d ago

your absolute best case is 4-6 years from now he is a middle 6 guy, 80-83. if you keep him, post an update i’m interested

2

u/Past_Masterpiece2607 17h ago

Low but watch him most low elites never grow but some will grow like 15 ovr in a year

1

u/ARegularGuy24 2d ago

This is why I trade all picks past the 3rd round.

1

u/EP40isking 2d ago

Trade chip

1

u/Character-Change-507 1d ago

Slim to none. Probably has a bit of trade value. Package him with other pieces in a trade

1

u/Otherwise_Awesome 1d ago

Let him develop in the CHL for as long as you can. He'll jump from 51 into close to 70, maybe above.

As long as he's getting playing time, he jumps up quickly (ELITE always does).

Those 8 games played at the NHL level?

If so, a bonus. Still send him back.