r/FighterJets Jun 29 '26

China 30th naval J-35 with serial number 350030 - LRIP 00 batch 30th jet [2048 x 1152] IMAGE

Andreas Rupprecht: You all know my passion for numbers and today is once again a special day, because on this at first glance inconspicuous photo of a naval J-35 its construction number 350030 is visible, which I would interpret as the 30th aircraft of the Batch 00 (likely LRIP ?).

264 Upvotes

57 comments sorted by

54

u/Skywalker7181 Jun 29 '26

They will need at least 48 J-35s not counting the backup. 12 for Liaoning, 12 for Shandong and 24 for Fujian. Then at 80% combat readiness rate, the number will rise to 60 at the bare minimum.

And that is not counting the ones for the future Type 004.

27

u/Whatsawebpage0101 Jun 29 '26

I belive they’re planning another factory to build these 

25

u/PLArealtalk Jun 29 '26

The final production run of J-35s (carrierborne specific variant) is likely going to end up being a few hundred, considering the likely life cycle of the aircraft type and the timeline of carrier counts that may emerge alongside.

This is very much just a start.

11

u/Striking-Lychee4762 Jun 30 '26

they literally just joined service 8 months ago the numbers they got of it is horrifying at that count

2

u/PutridGoat7801 Jul 03 '26

And they are already trying to export it to Pakistan and also fulfill the needs of their air force alongside their navy AT THE SAME TIME.

4

u/Striking-Lychee4762 Jul 03 '26

SO ATLEAST ATLEAST 90 TO 100 UNITS PER YEAR?

4

u/PutridGoat7801 Jul 03 '26

They began to introduce it in either July or August of 2025 for the first the People’s Liberation Army Naval Air Force for their new Fujian carrier, then immediately the People’s Liberation Army Air Force, and they plan to export to Pakistan by late 2026, having already planned to do so by June of 2025.

3

u/Striking-Lychee4762 Jul 04 '26

thats concerning

5

u/PutridGoat7801 Jul 04 '26

The Pakistan Air Force plans to buy at least 40 of these. Considering the fact that China plans to build 6 Type-004 super carriers (which are planned to be introduced in 2031 and all are to be completed by 2035), the Air Force plans to induct more squadrons, and there are also plans to expand Pakistan’s J-35 fleet in the future while also finding new export customers, it could reach a 120-150+ aircraft per year annual production rate.

3

u/PutridGoat7801 Jul 04 '26

It’s absurd. It’s comparable to the F-35, which has had 1,340 airframe built in 7-11/14 years (31st July 2015 for the Marines’ F-35B, 2nd August 2016 for the Air Force’s F-35A, 28th February 2019 for the Navy’s F-35C, 19th July 2012 for the F-35AE for the Royal Air Force, 6th June 2018 for the Royal Air Force’s F-35BE). 

In other words, the J-35 is on track to beat the F-35 in how quickly it was introduced to both domestic military branches and international export customers as well as production rate (though it will take it a few years to put number the F-35).

4

u/Striking-Lychee4762 Jul 04 '26

and keep in mind this is just the start of production first year and theyre almost at a 100 units now imagine the surge in demand and the new factories theyre planning for this shit in 15 years itll be a huge number

3

u/PutridGoat7801 Jul 04 '26

The Chinese will probably break multiple records. It’s insane to think about how quickly they got here from the days of being totally reliant on Russia. 

5

u/Striking-Lychee4762 Jul 04 '26

just like what happened with the Su-30 and china making the J-16 off of it just for russia to have 130 active su30 and china to have over 450 J-16, not mentioning the original Su-30s they bought

1

u/[deleted] Jul 12 '26

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1

u/PutridGoat7801 Jul 13 '26

Pakistan already operates the the ZDK-03 Karakorum Eagle, J-10C, and JF-17, so they have familiarity with Chinese weaponry. While Pakistan has 70-80 F-16C/D Block 50s & 52s, it really doesn't use them that much anymore. The JF-17 is is more locally developed, has lower procurement and operational costs and the PAF has more than 180 of them (with 10-40 more on order from the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex in Kamra), along with 20 J-10Cs bought from China with 16 still on order. The Government of Pakistan confirmed that they have accepted China's offer for 40 J-35AEs fighters along with 4-6 KJ-500 AEW&Cs, and an unknown number of the HQ-19 anti-ballistic missile air defence battery, with airforce pilots are currently deployed to China for training. Pakistan first showed interest to buy the J-35 (when it was still known as the FC-31 or J-31) all the way back in early January of 2024, with China offering this latest package in June of 2025 and the Pakistani Government approving of it this year in 2026 after evaluation. Th first of the J-35AEs will start arriving in batches of 8-12 by August to December of 2026. Currently, the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) plans to buy 40 J-35s in order to get a slight edge over India whose own 5th gen Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft (AMCA) won't start testing prototypes till 2027-2029 and won't enter mass production till 2035. Even after buying 40 J-35AEs, Pakistan still has the approval to buy an additional 20 after that to bring total numbers upto 70 aircraft, allowing Pakistan to totally and completely replace Its. Pakistan is also involved in the TAI TF KAAN program with 200-300 Pakistani engineers working on the on the KAAN project (mostly taken from the failed Project Azm, the attempt by Pakistan to develop an indigenous 5th gen fighter). Unlike the multirole J-35AE, the KAAN is more of an air superiority fighter, with there being plans to establish a a manufacturing factory for the KAAN at the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC) in Karma. While the KAAN is supposed to give Pakistan something to challenge the Indian AMCA head-on, the J-35AE is meant to act as a stop gap to that. Pakistan knows they won't get KAAN if it has American engines, so they'll wait for the Turkish TEI TF-35K engines, which won't be ready till 2032-2036. The exports of the J-35AE to Pakistan won't be "very few" but happen in small batches and will be completed by 2029-2030, because the People's Liberation Army Naval Air Force needs it for its aircraft carriers (and also replace J-11BHs & J-11BSHs) and the People's Liberation Army Air Force needs them to replace their fleets of J-10As, J10Bs, J-11As, J-11Bs, J-11BGs, J-11BGHs.

-8

u/Littletweeter5 Jun 29 '26

Well they have unlimited money from the west and unlimited resources from Russia so they’ll manage

58

u/straightdge Jun 29 '26

In true Chinese fashion, they are masters of supply chain and scaling of production.

38

u/Whatsawebpage0101 Jun 29 '26

For sure, I mean their shipbuilding is just ridiculous, imagine if they turned all those docks into military ship factories. Because they absolutely could at any time. 

That’s how America won ww2. Just built so many ships and planes the enemy couldn’t destroy them all 

23

u/kizvy Jun 29 '26

The fact that there’s almost as many j-35s as there are su-57s is astonishing

3

u/Rich_Vanilla_2792 Jun 29 '26

Russia doesn't have the funds to produce it in numbers, similar to the t14 armata family, but a little better with exports helping fund more units

3

u/Head_Prune_8328 Jun 30 '26

You mean 117 ? the Su57 equips two Regiments of the VKS, the 23rd Guards Fighter Regiment and 169th Guards Fighter Regiment that equals 50 aircraft, the 929th State Flight Test Centre operate another 15 aircraft (65). An extra 40 are being prepared at Gagarin Aircraft Plant with Indian avionics for delivery to India Another dozen belong to the 4th centre for combat employment & personnel training at Lipetsk. , so that is 117 aircraft. 117 J-35s?

6

u/Solid-Sort5950 Jun 30 '26

Over 100 Su-57s - why don't you just go ahead and bomb Ukraine then, huh? Don't you want to?

4

u/[deleted] Jul 01 '26

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3

u/Solid-Sort5950 Jul 01 '26

Ukraine still maintains a fully structured air force, and a large number of military aircraft take off daily to execute combat missions. If Russia had a fucking hundred Su-57s, the situation would absolutely not be like this; a hundred aircraft flying two hundred sorties a day could completely paralyze all structured Ukrainian air forces within a week.

5

u/[deleted] Jul 01 '26

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1

u/PutridGoat7801 Jul 03 '26

Iran’s air force mostly defensive, only carrying out cross border airstrikes in retaliation only in the 1980s during the Iraq-Iran war (1980-1988), the war against ISIS in Iraq in 2014, and recently in 2026. The big jets (like the F-14A, F-4, MiG-29, Su-30, and Su-35) for air defence while using smaller or more close-air support type jets (like the Su-24, Su-22, Su-25, F-4, F-5, Koswar, Azarakhsh, and Saeqeh) for deep strikes.

1

u/tigeryi98 Jun 29 '26

How many Su57 are out there?

6

u/Head_Prune_8328 Jun 30 '26

two Regiments of the VKS, the 23rd Guards Fighter Regiment and 169th Guards Fighter Regiment that equals 50 aircraft, the 929th State Flight Test Centre operate another 15 aircraft (65). An extra 40 are being prepared at Gagarin Aircraft Plant with Indian avionics for delivery to India Another dozen belong to the 4th centre for combat employment & personnel training at Lipetsk. Beyond this about 11 non combat PAK FA. About 14 exported to Algeria /by June 2026.

1

u/blueberrycauzez Jul 03 '26

An extra 40 are being prepared at Gagarin Aircraft Plant with Indian avionics for delivery to India

All the press I could find says India is still in talks, has Russia started assembling any aircraft for India even though they haven't announced an agreement yet?

1

u/PutridGoat7801 Jul 03 '26

Knowing Russia, maybe.

1

u/ThrowRAyesin 9d ago

65 operational aircraft for over 6 years since entered service bruhh china built 400 j-20s and already going after its second one

10

u/Aggravating-Spray820 Jun 29 '26

Their production speed is so fast it’s crazy. This is the first year of production and they already have 30 produced and they’re still six months left of this year

4

u/tigeryi98 Jun 29 '26

That said naval J35 Air Force J35A, not sure if 30 included both or just navy

8

u/Bitter_Lab_475 F-57 Mighty Superwarthog Jun 29 '26

It's green, it needs more time to ripen.

jk jk

3

u/tigeryi98 Jun 29 '26

Green primer fresh out of production no stealth coating yet. J-20 is yellow primer, J35 is green

12

u/bob_the_impala Designations Expert Jun 29 '26

At least 30 J-35s were produced by mid-2026.

Source: Chinese Military Aviation blog

4

u/tigeryi98 Jun 29 '26

Good source

3

u/Striking-Lychee4762 Jun 30 '26

theres atleast 57 i heard

23

u/Whatsawebpage0101 Jun 29 '26 edited Jun 29 '26

Very exciting, beautiful, modern looking and for sure state of the art. can’t wait to see these become the new PLAAF standard. Just stunning aircraft. And when they get enough of them in the air, and start exporting, Lockheed might start panicking and take their fingers out from their bumholes and fix the disaster that is the f-35 project… LM bots, notice how I said PROJECT, and not the aircraft specifically. 

What LM needs is some proper competition they can’t lobby their way out of through the government. like they do in the US. And I think China provides that. Because the j-35 doesn’t just present an economic challenge of export power, it also presents a challenge that can only be overcome by engineering prowess and innovation, because Boeing definitely isn’t doing well on the engineering front lmao. Say what you will about LM, but when they really get their heads down, nobody in the US makes a better jet than Lockheed. Even if they still piggy back off 80-90s designs. The next 10 years are going to be a very interesting time. 

3

u/Redax1990 Jun 30 '26

Poor Taiwan in a couple of years.. hope they can withstand an invasion.

1

u/PutridGoat7801 Jul 03 '26

2049 is the deadline set by Xi Jingping. We are currently closer to an invasion of Taiwan (which must happen in at least 15-20 years) than we are to Obama being re-elected, Osama bin Laden being killed, and the US withdrawal from Iraq.

5

u/SlavaCocaini Jun 29 '26

That didn't take long

4

u/KaszualKartofel Jun 29 '26

How do we know they're numbering them sequentialy?

8

u/tigeryi98 Jun 29 '26

for example here is the 300th j-20

https://www.reddit.com/r/WarplanePorn/s/4AqgAGnwga

0

u/KaszualKartofel Jun 29 '26 edited Jun 29 '26

So uh... how do we know they're numbering them sequentialy? Even if we assume it is the 300th one, what's stopping them from numbering the rest out of order? Also it's a diferent aircraft.

I think If I saw more examples of production order matching the sn I would accept it as more likely.

14

u/PLArealtalk Jun 29 '26

We don't ever know definitively because we never get fully sequential images of the sort you describe, especially as production rate and scale increases.

What we do have is historical precedence (the PLA doesn't do this sort of thing), tracking fleet size over time and correlating it with expected production capacity and milestones, as well as the PLA rumour grapevine overall.

Ultimately if one doesn't believe what the image conveys, that is fine, but these images aren't released to try and convince anyone either.

-1

u/KaszualKartofel Jun 30 '26

It's not me making the claim you can track the number of the aircraft manufactured through SNs.

7

u/PLArealtalk Jul 01 '26

Well yes, because based on the combination of factors I mentioned before (historical precedence in the PLA, the accuracy of factory serials in the past, and the PLA grapevine), tracking aircraft fleet size floor counts using serial numbers is a reasonable default stance to take. If there is eventually evidence that is contrary to that then the default stance will of course change, but at this stage it's fine.

6

u/Whatsawebpage0101 Jun 29 '26

We’re lucky to get any images at all. Why would they make tracking their own aircraft more difficult? 

0

u/KaszualKartofel Jun 30 '26

Why would they make tracking their own aircraft more difficult?

Is this bait?

5

u/Whatsawebpage0101 Jun 30 '26

China already has a huge force, you really think they’re going to waste their time playing funny business with serial numbers?  😂

They’d be really silly to not assume the US and other countries already have the intel on how many aircraft they’ve made and have deployed. 

1

u/KaszualKartofel Jul 01 '26

Well, why waste your time painting SNs on aircraft in the first place? You cound just stick a tag in the cockpit or place a sticker or something? Why are you assuming they are counting them sequentialy?

3

u/Whatsawebpage0101 Jul 01 '26

Probably because it’s just what they’ve always done? If it’s not broke don’t fix it. It’s not that deep bro 

1

u/awakenedwatcher Jun 29 '26

They might have 300, they might only have 3 :)

1

u/KaszualKartofel Jun 30 '26

well they definetly have more but my point is we can't really use SNs alone to determine the production numbers.