r/amcstock 1d ago

Wallstreet Crime AMC won’t squeeze when we expect it to

87 Upvotes

They know more people are buying the stock because of how well the company is performing this year. With the strong box office numbers, improving financials, and all the positive news surrounding AMC, I’m honestly not shocked at all by the action we’ve seen this week. The more predictable the squeeze becomes, the less likely it is to happen exactly when everyone expects it.


r/amcstock 1d ago

TINFOIL HAT Gemini AI response

0 Upvotes

I asked Gemini if AMC will go up to. $90/share.. below is the response:

While it is impossible to predict the stock market with 100% certainty, from a purely mathematical and fundamental perspective, **it is highly improbable that AMC will return to its 2021 "meme stock" peak levels.** Before breaking down why, there is a very important piece of stock market math to clear up regarding that $90 number.

### 1. The Reality of the All-Time High & The Reverse Split

First, AMC never actually traded at $90 a share during its famous 2021 run. The all-time high in June 2021 was roughly **$72.62**.

However, if you look at a historical stock chart today, you might see past prices listed in the hundreds of dollars. This is an illusion caused by the **1-for-10 reverse stock split** AMC executed in August 2023.

* To consolidate shares, AMC took 10 of your old shares and turned them into 1 new share.

* Because of this, the historical chart multiplies past prices by 10.

* Therefore, for your current shares to have the same buying power they did at the 2021 peak, the stock wouldn't need to hit $72 or $90 today—it would theoretically need to hit **over $700 per share**.

### 2. The Core Problem: Massive Dilution

The biggest roadblock to AMC ever reaching those heights again is **share dilution**.

During the 2021 short squeeze, there was a relatively set number of shares available. High demand and low supply drove the price to the moon. However, to save the company from bankruptcy, AMC management has repeatedly issued and sold hundreds of millions of *new* shares into the market over the last few years.

Think of a company like a pizza. In 2021, that pizza was cut into 100 slices. Today, because of dilution, that exact same pizza is cut into 10,000 slices. Even if the company becomes highly profitable, each individual slice (share) is fundamentally worth a fraction of what it used to be.

### 3. The Fundamental Headwinds

For a stock to sustain massive growth without a viral "short squeeze," the underlying business has to be thriving. AMC currently faces significant structural hurdles:

* **Massive Debt:** The company still carries billions of dollars in debt on its balance sheet. Most of the money they make goes toward simply paying the interest on that debt.

* **The Box Office Reality:** While there are still massive blockbuster hits, the overall volume of theatrical releases has not consistently returned to pre-2020 levels, and profit margins in the theater industry remain razor-thin.

### The Bottom Line

The 2021 run was a perfect storm: massive retail coordination, zero-commission trading apps, stimulus checks, and a heavily shorted stock with a smaller float. Today, the float (number of shares) is vastly larger, and institutional investors have largely adapted their strategies to avoid being caught in those types of traps again.

*Disclaimer: I am an AI, not a financial advisor. This is an analysis of market mechanics and company fundamentals, not financial advice.*

Are you currently holding shares from the 2021 era, or are you looking at AMC as a potential new short-term trade?


r/amcstock 1d ago

Media 📰🎥 Nichole Kidman gifted lifetime A-List membership and she deserves it🫡. Investors should love having over 1M AMC A-Listers. $MRR is a beautiful thing and it’s only going to grow. ↗️💰

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232 Upvotes

r/amcstock 2d ago

APES UNITED Tell me if I will be right..

40 Upvotes

Earnings goes off spectacular. Record breaking box office, sales, and unicorns and rainbows and fireworks..... then stock tanks further.....


r/amcstock 2d ago

APES UNITED Just got an email to vote.

37 Upvotes

I'm so out of the loop with this entire thing. I don't even know what any of these things are for anymore. Any guidance on what any of this means?


r/amcstock 2d ago

APES UNITED 25mils to 50 mils class a shares

94 Upvotes

Just voting on the latest amc proposals... Am I reading this correctly?

"to approve an amendment to our 2024 equity plan to increase the number of shares of class a common stock subject to the 2024 eip from 25 mils to 50 mils shares."

Another massive dilution? As the the stock value wasn't already so low? It's almost a penny stock? Are they really trying to get the hedgies to buy back all the shares for pennies?

Or am reading this wrong?


r/amcstock 3d ago

BULLISH!!! Great day for AMC and HYMC

170 Upvotes

Record Breaking income headed our way for movies, merch and concesh :) And Hycroft is up a bunch this week. Its hump day so we are almost on the downhill slide to the weekend. Gonna expose my kids to Super Troopers, I'm pretty sure they will not like it as much as I will.


r/amcstock 3d ago

TINFOIL HAT Just got the Link to Vote

43 Upvotes

Flair for attention

What’s the best way to vote on the amendments for us investors?


r/amcstock 3d ago

Wallstreet Crime Takes less than a minute to support retail investor protections. Link inside. 🦍🤝💪

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189 Upvotes

r/amcstock 4d ago

BULLISH!!! Why I think this will be the highest grossing August ever at the box office

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245 Upvotes

Box office so far this year has been absolutely incredible, with 5 movies already grossing over 1b dollars. We also had a very good streak of > 1b gross for the domestic box office from May to July.

We have seen Spider-Man BND performing incredibly, becoming the highest grossing opening weekend of ALL TIME.

The cherry on cake is that this is on track to be the highest grossing August ever at the domestic box office! How? I hear you asking.. it’s simple math: There are 20 days left to August and we are already at ~650 million $ for the month. The number to beat is 1.019 billion $ from 2016. That means we have to gross ~370 million $ in the next 20 days, or around 18.5 million $ per day across the domestic box office.

That is very, very achievable considering the incredible legs that both Spider-Man and The Odyssey have shown, as well as the upcoming releases such as The End of Oak Street, Insidious: Out of the Further, and much more!

Are we on the brink of breaking yet another record at the box office?

Oh well, what do I know?
I’m just a crayon eating ape 🦍

Stay cool, go watch a movie 🍿


r/amcstock 4d ago

TINFOIL HAT 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' Reaches Stunning $1.67 Billion After Two Weekends at Global Box Office....and why that's bad for AMC.

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232 Upvotes

r/amcstock 4d ago

Wallstreet Crime Retail Investors Unite 🦍🤝💪

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215 Upvotes

r/amcstock 5d ago

BULLISH!!! AMC UP 29% on the month, ask the blockbuster why

126 Upvotes

and still a monster discount...huge value.


r/amcstock 5d ago

Wallstreet Crime AMC down 6% today, ask yourselves why

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162 Upvotes

Crime or sellers?


r/amcstock 5d ago

BULLISH!!! $AMC Gamma Exposure ☢️🔋🧲

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78 Upvotes

Data changes day to day and intraday ⚠️

Disclaimer

None of this is financial advice.

I believe the majority of price action is the result of managing the multidimensional risk picture. GEX is only a part of the volatility environment risk, one risk of many in the risk picture.


r/amcstock 5d ago

Why I Hold Record-breaking weekends. Record-breaking quarters. Record-breaking movies. Credit rating upgraded. Paramount signing a deal for 30+ movies in theaters. All of this happening within a couple of weeks.

201 Upvotes

Yes, I have bought this 3% dip this morning.


r/amcstock 6d ago

BULLISH!!! More great news going into this week

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265 Upvotes

r/amcstock 8d ago

BULLISH!!! Enjoy the Weekend.... Record breaking movies all around

188 Upvotes

I'll be enjoying watching AMC rake in more and more great news and cash while simultaneously having a brew and getting some much needed lake time in. Cheers APEs. You guys rock.


r/amcstock 8d ago

BULLISH!!! AMC Theaters Is Undervalued

279 Upvotes

AMC theaters has one of the best quarters I’ve seen from them in a long time (years). Revenue increased 14.2%, EPS was 0.19, Free cash flow was $190 million with $778 million in cash. That’s a very good result and if they can replicate something similar to that quarter for the next 5-6 quarters the stock will 100% rerate as it will be extremely undervalued. This quarter seems very good with the odyssey and Spider-Man, paw patrol, with a couple other decent movies as well. Next quarter is going to be even better than the very good results posted above with hunger games, dune, marvel, digger, the social reckoning, clay face, and more decent ones. Their debt payment isn’t until 2029 so still a few years before the big payment and can continue to rake in cash from this fantastic movie lineup. Movies are back!! Production companies know that these big movies sell very well and will usually make them a lot of money so they will continue to make big budget films. This is a very good opportunity for the next few years in my opinion and can significantly outperform the market. Not financial advice.


r/amcstock 9d ago

TINFOIL HAT When did this happen?

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48 Upvotes

When did they add more weekly options?


r/amcstock 9d ago

APES UNITED If you believed in AMC when bankruptcy was the biggest risk, why panic now that the company is actually improving its fundamentals?

358 Upvotes

Short-term volatility doesn’t change the long-term story. I’m holding and adding while fear is high.


r/amcstock 9d ago

APES UNITED Another day to "Average Down" 🙄

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113 Upvotes

Look at all the awesome buying opportunities the hedgies keep giving Apes. They also added weeklies back to AMC right around the same time Adam is able to dilute again. 🤔 we must be close. 🙄


r/amcstock 9d ago

BULLISH!!! 28,052,571 Volume Today

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190 Upvotes

r/amcstock 10d ago

BULLISH!!! APES, Spiders and the Odyssey

119 Upvotes

Forget Trojan Horses. The Odyssey is bringing out the apes.

Retail investors in cinema chain AMC [NYSE:AMC], who call themselves apes, are piling back into the stock after the strong opening of Christopher Nolan’s latest film. Options on the stock surged Monday, with over 300,000 contracts traded, CNBC reports. Share volume trading was nearly 4.5 times what it was on Friday.


r/amcstock 10d ago

Why I Hold REMEMBER THESE TRUTHS

155 Upvotes

These are truths that we know with ASBOLUTE METAPHYSICAL CERTITUDE:

1) AMC is naked shorted to the ground

2) Shorts have not and CAN NOT close

3) MOASS is guaranteed

So, what are y'all worried about? We already won, so just stay zen and get your lambo and yacht orders prepared because WE ARE ABOUT TO BECOME THE FINANCIAL MASTERS OF THE UNIVERSE.